Sales strategies for office product are moving off-market, according to brokers and investors on the Investment Sales Experts panel at Allen Matkins' annual View From the Top conference, held yesterday at the Beverly Hilton hotel. The panel brought industry experts Kevin Shannon, president of West Coast capital markets at NKF; Darla Longo, vice chairman and managing director at CBRE; Chris Graham; managing director at the Blackstone Group; Tracey Murphy, executive VP of life science and Northern California at Kilroy Realty Corp.; and David Thomas, principal at LBA Realty, together to discuss real estate investment trends, where buyers and brokers agreed that off-market deals or select-marketed deals are garnering higher price tags than fully marketed transactions.
“I think there is an off-market premium,” said Shannon on the panel about institutional-quality or other large deals. “The Asian's like the off-market deals, and we have done enough where we know where pricing is going to shake out. With those deals, the story helps.” He added that the team does market most deals to a select group of buyers, and focuses on Asian markets where “there is a lot of capital seeking a home in L.A.”
Longo agreed that off-market deals are getting higher pricing, especially for larger properties. She focuses on industrial properties, but is seeing a similar trend, especially from Asian buyers looking for industrial product. “Asian buyers take longer to make decisions,” she said on the panel. “They are new to the industrial space, but they are going to be a huge capital driver behind the scenes on the bigger deals. We are seeing a lot of capital that is coming into the development side of industrial real estate. We are seeing that pension advisors have also shifted to capture some of the industrial yield.”
For Longo, growth in the industrial market is helping to attract new attention from Asian and other foreign investors and is driving up pricing. “The industrial market for the first time in my career is the darling,” she said. “In the industrial market, I don't predict a downturn because we have ecommerce merging into industrial distribution. I think it could take five to seven years to find new normal.”
While Shannon and Longo agreed that they were getting better pricing on “off-market deals,” Graham said that the two were using a broad definition of off-market. “Has the definition of off-market changed? These aren't really off market,” he said, adding that they are still marketing the property to a handful of select buyers. “We do like to be brought deals, and we absolutely welcome that.” As an example on pricing, he said that a few years ago, the whisper price on a property might have been $105 million but closed at $100 million. Today, it is the opposite. If the whisper price is $100 million, the end price is $105 million.
Regardless of your definition of off-market, Shannon said that his team is frequently surpassing pricing records and Graham admitted that the rulebook for bidding was out the window because of the steep competition.
Asian buyers aren't the only buyer pool driving up pricing and increasing interest in off-market deals. Shannon is also seeing major interest from German buyers and domestic buyers in gateway markets, which he says are the most active. In addition to Los Angeles and San Francisco, he lists Seattle as another top market.
Want to continue reading?
Become a Free ALM Digital Reader.
Once you are an ALM Digital Member, you’ll receive:
- Breaking commercial real estate news and analysis, on-site and via our newsletters and custom alerts
- Educational webcasts, white papers, and ebooks from industry thought leaders
- Critical coverage of the property casualty insurance and financial advisory markets on our other ALM sites, PropertyCasualty360 and ThinkAdvisor
Already have an account? Sign In Now
*May exclude premium content© 2024 ALM Global, LLC, All Rights Reserved. Request academic re-use from www.copyright.com. All other uses, submit a request to [email protected]. For more information visit Asset & Logo Licensing.