Their combined debt will exceed that of the Treasury by 2004 at their current pace.In answer to questions about the safety of their financial operations, the two companies agreed to several concessions. First, they will undergo regular review by debt raters such as Moody's Investor Service Inc. or Standard & Poor's, and publicly report the results of risk assessments. They also agreed to create and conduct stress tests of their operations and issue subordinated debt to raise the level of capital in their portfolios. This would provide insurance in case of an abrupt market collapse.
Currently, the two companies enjoy the implied backing of the Federal government, which is one reason their debt is rated triple-A. The new subordinated debt would not have that benefit, but be rated like any other debt. This would give investors more insight into the companies' credit quality, one of the reasons the agreement was welcomed on Wall Street. Both companies' stocks went up to 52-week highs before receding from the peaks, still better than they started.
One analyst says the issue of financial safety will reappear, as their debt is on track to reach $8 billion by 2010, according to a study by Goldman Sachs.
In Washington, however, the deal only amounts to a temporary reprieve for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, analysts say. Rep. Richard Baker (R-LA), the companies' strongest critic in Congress, still intends to introduce a bill to increase regulation over them. Baker proposes removing them from the oversight of the Department of Housing and Urban Development, and making them accountable to a tougher regulator. The two companies don't want that, saying closer ties with HUD help them accomplish their mission of financing home mortgages.
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