A new survey by consultants Deloitte & Touche LLP, in affiliation with the National Retail Federation, says 77% of Angelenos expect to spend as much or more on holiday gift-giving this year as they did in 1999. Nationwide, the figure is an even stronger 80%.
The bullish forecast of yuletide joy for consumers and retailers alike results from several factors, says Richard Giss, a partner in the Consumer Business Practice Group of Deloitte & Touche's LA office. "Consumers nationally and in Southern California have a fairly positive outlook, reflecting a solid economy, a very strong job market, rising housing prices and low inflation," Giss says.
Despite the cheery sales forecast, there are a few dark clouds on the horizon. Though a separate survey of retailers found they expect holiday sales to be up a healthy 4.5% from a year ago; 20% of Angelenos say they'll spend less this year than last--in part because higher gas prices are cutting into their disposable income.
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