According to Grupe, returns to REIT stocks were largely uncorrelated by both large- and small-cap stocks. "The lodging sector posted a total return of 46% last year, the highest among all sectors," Grupe said. "The office and apartment sectors were next in line with nearly identical returns of about 35%. The industrial, regional mall, diversified and health care sectors all registered total returns in the 25% to 30% range."
Grupe noted that relatively stable or rising stock prices and accelerating earnings growth placed public real estate securities in a relatively favorable light. "The price volatility of the NAREIT Equity REIT index increased just 13% since the end of 1996 and remains appreciably less than half that of the Nasdag," he says.
The average REIT earning growth remained at around 10% and, according to quarterly earnings reports last year, the slowdown of earnings growth might have stabilized. During the past 20 years, the income return averages 8.5%. Annual REIT dividends have grown annually at 6.6% since 1992, a rated that has outpaced the rate of consumer price inflation, Grupe said.
"Real estate belongs in a balanced investment portfolio because real estate is an important part of the investment universe," Grupe said. "Using data from the Federal Reserve Board's flow of funds accounts, and assuming the investment-grade, commercial grade sector presently totals about $2 trillion, real estate accounts for about 5% to 6% of the current investment universe. Yet, the starting point for many investors is to think of their portfolio without real estate and then seek evidence for including real estate."
Want to continue reading?
Become a Free ALM Digital Reader.
Once you are an ALM Digital Member, you’ll receive:
- Breaking commercial real estate news and analysis, on-site and via our newsletters and custom alerts
- Educational webcasts, white papers, and ebooks from industry thought leaders
- Critical coverage of the property casualty insurance and financial advisory markets on our other ALM sites, PropertyCasualty360 and ThinkAdvisor
Already have an account? Sign In Now
*May exclude premium content© 2024 ALM Global, LLC, All Rights Reserved. Request academic re-use from www.copyright.com. All other uses, submit a request to [email protected]. For more information visit Asset & Logo Licensing.