CHICAGO-Although the market here is hardly known for irrational exuberance or even volatility, one expert says capitalization rates on multifamily properties may drop into the 7% range this year. “In California, you’re seeing cap rates below 7%,” says Robert Wolkoff, a principal with Group One Investments. “I think in Chicago, you’ll see the same thing.”

Cap rates below the cost of money already is happening in some of the hottest areas of the city, such as the Lincoln Park and Lakeview neighborhoods, where multifamily buildings used as rental properties have been bought for conversion to condominiums. However, cap rates remain in high single digits to double digits in most city neighborhoods, as well as the suburbs.

Regardless, owners of multifamily properties are enjoying low vacancy rates as well as healthy rent increases above the rate of inflation, real estate professionals were told at the Real Estate Investment Association’s/Society for Industrial and Office Realtors’ Summit 2001 here. Vacancy rates were around 2% in Lakeview and Lincoln Park on the city’s North Side, around 3% in the northwest suburbs and DuPage County, says Alon Yonatan, research services manager for Marcus & Millichap–Chicago.

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