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NMHC Finds Conditions Indicate US Will Avoid Recession, See Soft Landing

WASHINGTON, DC-National Multi-Housing Council survey results indicate that the economic slowdown will have a moderate impact on the industry. The debt financing index is the highest since the first survey in July 1999.

By Diane Cook | Updated on January 28, 2001

WASHINGTON, DC-A survey of apartment market conditions leads officials of the National Multi Housing Council to believe the US will avoid a recession. Only 4% of those who respond to the organization’s quarterly survey of apartment market conditions think a hard landing is likely.

The remaining participants are pretty evenly split between a “bumpy landing,” in which growth slows to a below-average rate and then rebound to a sustainable pace, and a “soft landing,” in which growth slows to a sustainable pace. To 49%, a bumpy landing is more likely, with 42% selecting the soft landing.

Falling interest rates from the Fed are credited with improved market conditions for debt financing, according to the survey. The debt financing index rose to 90 thisquarter, the highest reading since NMHC started the survey in July 1999 and much higher than the 6 recorded this time last year. An index reading above 50 indicates, that on balance, debt market conditions are looser while a reading below 50 means conditions are getting tighter.

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