The National Association of Realtors Commercial Real Estate Quarterly provided market sector forecasts for this year for five major commercial sectors. For the office market, Boston ranked number one with Newark, NJ, Austin, TX and New York City behind. Boston also ranked number one in the multifamily market followed by Los Angeles, Detroit and Minneapolis. In the warehouse market Boston ranked number three, with Phoenix and San Francisco ranking numbers one and two. Boston also ranked number three in the lodging market behind San Diego and New York City.
"When you compare rent growth to last year, it is definitely lower, but we are forecasting a slower economy," Sigrid Fennemore, a senior economist at the NAR, tells GlobeSt.com. "Boston is a very resilient market in that given the backdrop of the slower economy, rent growth is still strong." Fennemore points out that compared to last year's booming economy, all performances are slower. Last year's Real Growth Domestic Product was 5% while the Real Growth Domestic Product for 2001 is estimated to be 2.7%.
"Boston is a little slower than in the past year, but compared to other markets, it is still outperforming the rest of the country," notes Fennemore who adds that the premise for this forecast is the strong local economy--specifically the employment rate. Personal income here is one of the highest in the nation, which also demonstrates that the indicators are very strong here, according to Fennemore. "We are estimating that it is still one of the best markets," she says.
The space constraints in the city here add to Boston's high rankings. "Even if demand slows, there is no worry about supply," says Fennemore. "The vacancies are low and the level of ongoing construction is low compared to other areas and compared to the last few years. This also cushions the negative impact of a slowing economy."
Want to continue reading?
Become a Free ALM Digital Reader.
Once you are an ALM Digital Member, you’ll receive:
- Breaking commercial real estate news and analysis, on-site and via our newsletters and custom alerts
- Educational webcasts, white papers, and ebooks from industry thought leaders
- Critical coverage of the property casualty insurance and financial advisory markets on our other ALM sites, PropertyCasualty360 and ThinkAdvisor
Already have an account? Sign In Now
*May exclude premium content© 2024 ALM Global, LLC, All Rights Reserved. Request academic re-use from www.copyright.com. All other uses, submit a request to [email protected]. For more information visit Asset & Logo Licensing.