Some of the economic concerns the commercial brokerage firm cited as potential problems for the office market include: a struggling US economy as well as rising energy costs, particularly for Europe and most of Asia. Colliers officials noted, however, that the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development considers the prospects for the world economy to remain relatively bright and anticipates the global economy to grow by 3.3% in 2001. This compares with 4.3% growth in 2000, which was the fastest rate of growth for the world economy in more than a decade.
Colliers officials say that most European office markets are experiencing rising demand. Fueled by improving labor markets, most of Europe's major office markets continue to experience increased demand. Reflected by a 20-year low unemployment rate of 9.0%, job growth in most of Europe has significantly increased the demand for office space.
Recent statistics show lower vacancy rates were recorded in almost all European cities with the major markets of London, Paris and Frankfurt all posting sharply lower vacancy levels. With office space becoming scarce in these financial hubs, rents increased substantially to register top rents of $129, $80 and $52 (US) per sf for London, Paris and Frankfurt respectively.
Latin American office markets continue benefiting from US expansion, Colliers officials relate, however, many still post double-digit vacancy rates and show little change in rents. Buenos Aires in particular registered a year-end 2000 vacancy rate of 15.5% while Lima and Bogota each came in at 18.0% and 18.4%, respectively.
Asia Pacific markets have show mixed results, with some regions struggling to recover. The Asia Pacific office market remained divided with Hong Kong, Singapore, Taipei, Seoul, Mumbai and most of the Australian and New Zealand markets showing robust growth.
The balance, including Tokyo, remain relatively weak as evidenced by high vacancy levels and little or no change in rental levels. The region's economy remains highly sensitive to rising energy costs and also to a potential slowdown in trade with the US. Japan's difficulties are also a drag on the region's economy, Colliers officials contend.
The quoted rent in Tokyo stands at $140.80 (US) per sf, which is down slightly. However, the decrease is based more on currency exchange values with the yen and the dollar than any trend towards a downward move on rental rates there, Colliers officials say.
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