Approximately 1.2 million square feet was leased countywide in the first three months of 2001, 25% more than the average amount leased per quarter over the last 10 years. This number, though, is 17% below the strong 1.4 million sf in the same period a year ago, Insignia/ESG officials say. The city's first quarter 2001 office availability rate shot up almost three percentage points from a year ago to 10.4%.
Dean Shapiro, executive director of Insignia/ESG's Westchester-Connecticut office comments, "Most of us believe Fairfield County's current increase in availability is a short-term effect of on-going economic uncertainty. Businesses are playing it close to the belt and limiting their spending during what is essentially a pause in the market. Historically, underlying market strength has always enabled Fairfield to overcome significant new availabilities. This appears to be one of those times--leasing, though lower than last year, seems relatively healthy and, without new construction, any new activity for the rest of this year should eliminate existing vacancies."
Although Fairfield's first-quarter leasing velocity of 1.2 million sf was lower than the same period a year ago, it was still above the county's 10-year quarterly average of 962,500 sf. Activity in the eastern submarket enabled this outcome, rising 79% from 2000 to 596,090 sf and claiming half of all velocity in the county so far this year. It also saw six of Fairfield's 10 largest transactions--one of which was a pre-lease for new construction at 4 Enterprise Drive in Shelton. Fairfield North also saw a minor increase of 13% in its leasing during the first quarter. In contrast, Stamford and Fairfield West--usually the market's leaders--posted year-to-date leasing declines of 52% and 43%, respectively.
Like neighboring Westchester County, several developments strongly affected the first quarter's absorption in Fairfield. The continuing dot-com reversal, which most recently saw Microcast and ShopLink.com close their doors and Priceline.com downsize, were notable among these events, Insignia/ESG officials say.
Corporate retrenchments at Union Carbide, Prudential and Crompton Corp. also contributed, as did the complete emptying out of 55 Railroad Ave. in Greenwich in anticipation of a capital improvement program. In total, these and other closings led to more than 592,960 sf of negative absorption in 2001. Last year at this time, Fairfield was well on its way to a record year, with countywide absorption totaling 673,260 sf, the report states.
Although the availability of space increased during the first quarter of the year, there was no corresponding decrease in rental rates because the space that became available was in high-quality properties. In fact, the average asking rent countywide climbed 23%, or $5.87 per sf, from a year ago to $31.66 per sf. Stamford properties saw the greatest increase over the past 12 months--34% or $9.46 per sf. The city now boasts the county's highest average asking rent at $37.59 per sf. Premier properties in Downtown Stamford, Greenwich and Westport continued, however, to ask, and receive, even higher rates, officials with the brokerage firm contend.
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