To paraphrase the old song, Steven E. Pumper has seen the investment world from both sides now, in lush times and lean. The Dallas-based president of Transwestern Commercial’s Owner Advisory Services group, a 17-year industry veteran–and the most recent addition to GlobeSt.com’s Think Tank–focuses on institutional third-party services to Transwestern clients, including management, leasing, development and investments. As he points out, these times are quite unlike any other and the hurdles we are experiencing have never washed up before in the tides of previous fiscal cycles. While the economic picture seems to be picking up a bit, Pumper is at best cautiously optimistic as he surveys the concerns that face his institutional clientele, not the least of which are the “lack of deal flow and the continued gap in the bid/ask spread.” In a recent chat, he outlined his reasons for optimism as well as his reasons for caution.

GlobeSt.com: Can we assess the damage in terms of institutional sales in 2001?

Pumper: There was a drop-off in major transactions of about 60% from 2000 to 2001, and keep in mind that 2000 was not a high-water mark. The majority of office properties taken to market in 2001 were pulled off the market and refinanced by owners who elected to hold for another year or two based on significant bid/ask spreads. Just look at cities such as Denver and Dallas and Minneapolis; there was a major disconnect between buyers and sellers in the primary and secondary cities. The other thing that goes hand in hand with that is the amount of sublease space in the market.

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