Speaking to GlobeSt.com, Cushman & Wakefield Senior Associate Scott Keeton says "the report certainly shows that, without a doubt, DC has proven itself to be one of the strongest markets in the country this year." Most notable among the area's commercial real estate achievements is its standing as the metropolitan area with the lowest Commercial Business District vacancy rate, 5.7%, in the entire country as of the end of the third quarter 2001. Cushman expects the District to hold first place in this category for the next 18-24 months.
Also, despite decreases in demand, absorption rates and leasing activity, average Class A rental rates increased by 3% to $34.46 per-sf. "We've heard [the DC market] is recession-proof," Keeton notes. "While that may or may not be true, it certainly weathers the storm better than any other market for several reasons: primarily because of federal spending in the area, and the diversified business sectors." The report also notes two significant occurrences that effected the market: a resurgence of interest in the District after rapid growth of the high-tech industry in the outlying suburbs; and Vornado Realty trust's acquisition of Charles E. Smith Commercial Realty, which makes the company the area's largest commercial property owner.
Cushman is not alone in its assessment of the District as a good investment. The Association of Foreign Investors in Real estate named Washington DC as one of the top five international investment markets, while the Lend Lease/PWC report "Emerging Trends 2002" listed Washington as number two in its Markets to Watch category for investment and development opportunities. The Urban Land Institute listed the city as one of its "most favored" investment markets in 2001.
As for the neighboring suburban market, Keeton says it "suffered from a lack of activity, but there's some optimism that federal spending will help." He adds that specifically, "the Dulles tech corridor has been hit hard but I'm hopeful, and a lot of people are hopeful, that not just technology but traditional tenants will be looking out that way for good deals."
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