According to the report: just over 1,000 apartment units will be constructed in the Downtown area over the next 12 months. There is practically no land available for new projects, so most new construction in this submarket consists of redevelopments or rehabilitations of existing buildings. Demand is expected to remain steady, keeping the vacancy rate relatively unchanged in 2002.

Lower-than-average rents and the submarket's close proximity to the CBD have created enough demand to push the average vacancy rate to a low 2.9%. Rates that are well below the county average should allow this submarket's rents to grow by an additional 4% this year to $953 per month. Rents have increased by more than 6% in the last year, despite the slowing economy. The average sales price per unit will stay the same this year, despite rents rising and vacancies remaining static. Lower-quality buildings and working-class neighborhoods tend to hinder investor enthusiasm for this market during a weak economy.

Despite most buildings maintaining near full occupancy, investors see less potential compared to neighboring markets. The current average price per unit of $49,000 is unchanged from 2000 and is the lowest in the county.

Developers will be adding 850 units to the West L.A. submarket, one of the most desirable in the county, in 2002. This area has limited land availability and rather high acquisition costs. Given this area is the most expensive in the county and tenant demand has softened as a result, the average vacancy rate is expected to rise by 1% point to 5.4% by the end of 2002.

The average rent is expected to rise a minimal 1.5% to $1,573 per month. With some of the highest asking rents in the county, demand has softened here and vacancies have started to become more plentiful. Economic recovery later in the year and low levels of construction are expected to keep this submarket's rent growth in the black.

Sales activity is expected to remain constant in this high-priced market, as many investors seek apartment buildings that cater to an upscale clientele. The average price per unit last year hit $125,000, an increase of nearly 14%. However, that growth will moderate somewhat, to 5%, as rising vacancy rates and flattening rent growth temper investor optimism regarding the area.

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