From the fourth quarter of 2000 to the same period last year, RevPAR declined 35% for Boston, which is the second largest decline in the country. Only San Francisco--with 40%--experienced a greater decline in that time period. Petros Sivitanides, a senior economist at Torto Wheaton, attributes the staggering decrease in demand to the continued effects of the terror attacks, especially on business travelers. "There is still a stigma effect Sept. 11 created on travel," he tells GlobeSt.com.

The occupancy rates for this area are a further indication that the impacts of the terror attacks are still lingering. Those rates decreased 15.7% from the fourth quarter of last year to the fourth quarter of this year, a " huge decrease" according to Sivitanides. The number of occupied rooms decreased 17% in that time period as well.

Full service lodging facilities were more severely affected by the attacks as indicated by that segment of the market's drop in RevPAR by 35.7% in the last year as opposed to the limited service segment, which experienced a 29.3% decline. Sivitanides points out that business travelers make up the major portion of the full service market and they are more dependent on air travel. Room rates fell in both segments of the market: in the full service segment they dropped 17.5% from the fourth quarter of last year to the fourth quarter of this year while the rates dropped 11% in that same time period for the limited service market.

This coming year is not going to be much better, says Sivitanides, and the Boston hotel market will continue to do worse than the rest of the country. RevPAR will probably decline another 18%, according to Sivitanides. But he does see a light at the end of this dark tunnel. Sivitanides predicts a strong recovery in the following two years with RevPAR increasing 20% in 2003 and 14% in 2004. By then, the economy will be stronger and the air travel stigma effect will have dissipated, believes Sivitanides.

Want to continue reading?
Become a Free ALM Digital Reader.

Once you are an ALM Digital Member, you’ll receive:

  • Breaking commercial real estate news and analysis, on-site and via our newsletters and custom alerts
  • Educational webcasts, white papers, and ebooks from industry thought leaders
  • Critical coverage of the property casualty insurance and financial advisory markets on our other ALM sites, PropertyCasualty360 and ThinkAdvisor
NOT FOR REPRINT

© 2024 ALM Global, LLC, All Rights Reserved. Request academic re-use from www.copyright.com. All other uses, submit a request to [email protected]. For more information visit Asset & Logo Licensing.