One of the most startling findings of the report was the meager absorption rate posted for the first quarter, Jared Boyd, Richard Bowers' research director., tells GlobeSt.com. At the end of March, absorption totaled 47,492 sf, the lowest quarterly absorption in the past six years.
Nine of the sixteen submarkets surveyed by Bowers experienced negative absorption with the only significant positive absorption occurring in the I-75/I-285 submarket (214,706 sf), the Northeast Expressway North (72,858 sf) and Airport South with 54,518 sf.
Construction deliveries totaled 1.3 million sf, which sent the direct vacancy rate in Atlanta to about 13.2%. This number does not include sublease space and special purpose buildings.
"Due to limitations in the amount of financing available, we anticipate that deliveries for 2003 will total 1,183,000 sf, based upon what has already been committed and broken ground," Boyd says. The 2003 outlook reflects a further slowdown in office developments compared to the 1.46 million sf of new deliveries scheduled for 2002, he says.
Next year, new projects to be delivered include 2002 Summit Blvd., a 390,000-sf project; One Glenlake totaling 353,000 sf; and the 440,000-sf Centergy Technology Square. Two of these office developments have significant pre-leasing commitments in place, Boyd says.
The amount of vacant space on the market has increased from 9.47 million sf during the 2Q 2001 to 16.24 million sf. "These results have definitely created a buyer's office market with concessions available in free rent, lease assumptions, lower rental rates and increased tenant improvement allowances," Boyd says. "Subleases, although a secondary market, totaling over five million sf, are also having an adverse effect on the market."
The urban corridor is "continuing to fare much better than the suburban markets with occupancy rates approaching 90%," Boyd tells GlobeSt.com. Meanwhile, availability stands at about 15.5% in the suburbs.
Quoted rental rates remained stable throughout Atlanta at an average $21.54 per sf. In the urban corridor, rental rates are $24.24 per sf, while suburban properties fetch about $20.28 per sf.
"Nonetheless, the office market has bottomed and will improve dramatically by year-end 2002," Boyd says. "There is only 160,000 sf of suburban office buildings scheduled for delivery for the remainder of 2002."
He says that with an improved economy, "we are projecting positive absorption of approximately three million sf for calendar year 2002." Boyd projects the office market will improve to the 89% to 90% occupancy range and average rental rates will increase to about $22 per sf.
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