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Apartment Market Getting Poised for Rebound

AUSTIN-Occupancy overall is up slightly while rents, across the board, continue to drop. The conclusion is Austin may be close to the bottom of the cycle. It's only the second time in a decade that occupancy rose after college students left.

By Tim Green | Updated on July 29, 2002

AUSTIN-Results from second-quarter multifamily reports indicate Austin may be approaching the bottom of the cycle. The Austin Investor Interests report and Capitol Market Research’s latest analysis showed rents continued to drop even though occupancy levels posted slight increases.

Austin Investor Interests reported a 0.49% increase to 88.88% in the second quarter while Capitol said occupancy rose to 90.3% from 90% at the end of 2001. Those occupancy increases, however small, are significant. Historically, Austin Investor Interests said, occupancy levels drop 1% to 2% in the second quarter as the thousands of college students in the area leave for the summer. In the 10 years the firm has tracked the market, the only other time that occupancy levels rose was second quarter 1998.

Despite the occupancy increases, rents continued to drop in the second quarter. Citywide, rents fell 5.3% in the past six months to 89 cents per sf, according to Capitol. That drop puts rents at fall 1999 levels. “This decline can be attributed to lower overall demand and the pervasive use of special rates and rental concessions to attract tenants,” Capitol said. Average rents for apartments completed since 1990 are 95 cents per sf, 5.3% higher than the market.

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