European Commercial Property Markets Overview
DTZ points to the virtual elimination of office demand growth. Occupiers have generally shelved expansion plans, although more tenant-friendly conditions--greater supply, lower rents and more flexibility on the part of the landlords--may encourage more activity in 2003. Falling levels of demand have seen a significant rise in availability across all markets resulting in a continuous downward pressure on rents in all parts of Europe.
Despite the air of uncertainty facing the leasing market, the investment market remains buoyant. Although statistics from DTZ reveal that investment transactional volume was lower in the majority of European markets in 2002, this was due as much to the shortage of available investment opportunities as to the decline in occupier markets as manifested in weaker demand and falling rents--both of which forced buyers to be more selective.
DTZ EuroInvest director Peter Collins commented: 'Negative events over the last couple of years have had a significant impact on investor expectations and intentions, however property continues to be a popular with investors due largely to the poor performance of equities and by the sustained low interest rate environment which provides attractive debt opportunities at this time.
'Yields have remained broadly stable or in some cases moved out in the last 12 months, although any movement was moderate. Those small number of sectors/markets which saw yields harden did so purely as a result of the weight of money.
'Despite prevailing economic conditions, investor interest, particularly in western Europe's commercial property market, remains healthy and there is no shortage of buyers for suitable product--as seen by the large number of specialised vehicles targeting European property, therefore we expect activity to remain strong throughout 2003.'
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