It's the second consecutive quarter for the industrial market to surpass the one-million-sf mark in positive absorption and the highest gain since first quarter 1998, says Ariel Guerrero, Grubb & Ellis' research services manager. In comparison, 1.2 million sf was absorbed in 2003. "Leasing has picked up in the last three to six months as firms decide to expand as they see their corporate profits improving," he says. "We now see tenants gearing up for the recovery phase of the market."

Warehouse and distribution space contributed to the big gain by registering a growth of nearly 1.3 million sf while R&D/flex space grew to 456,203 sf in the second quarter. The majority of the growth occurred in the northwest far submarket. The northwest ended the quarter with 631,252 sf absorbed, of which 395,905 sf came from Flooring Services of Texas LP, Arizona Tile, the Laminate Store International, Denver Southwest LP and Source Logistics.

The north far and Fort Bend County submarkets accrued 319,625 sf and 248,884 sf of positive absorption, respectively. Only five of 20 submarkets posted negative absorption, with southeast registering the most significant loss, 62,246 sf.

Houston's industrial vacancy declined by 52 basis points to 8.3% at the Q2 close. R&D/flex space got hit the hardest, with vacancy falling by 1.5% to 11.6%. Warehouse and distribution space dipped 0.6% to 7.9%.

Overall asking rents declined by two cents per sf to $4.08 per sf annually, triple net. Standard industrial rents increased by six cents per sf to $3.20 per sf on an annual triple net basis and warehouse/distribution rents rose a penny to $3.88 per sf. The R&D/flex sector dropped 13 cents to $6.85 per sf, with the big hit coming in the east southeast far and north far submarkets, where the triple net, per sf asking rate fell 92 cents and 25 cents, respectively.

Since asking rents have stabilized, tenants are starting to realize that "now's the time to make a deal," Guerrero tells GlobeSt.com. "We've begun to see longer lease terms." There are still some concessions in the market, but he says the window of opportunity will decline by year-end. "We expect the overall vacancy rate to decline and will hit 8% by the end of 2004," he adds.

Six warehouses, totaling 345,950 sf, delivered in the second quarter. The largest was 126,500-sf warehouse and design center for Flooring Services of Texas at 10555 W. Sam Houston Parkway in the northwest far submarket. Clay Development completed a 104,000-sf warehouse in Battleground Business Park for Delta Chemicals, which signed a 10-year lease for the project.

With 499,635 sf of speculative space under construction, developers have shifted their focus to build-to-suit and owner/occupied development, which accounts for about 84% or 2.5 million sf of the under-construction projects. Wal-Mart recently started construction on a two-million-sf distribution center in Cedar Crossing Business Park near the Port of Houston. The Wal-Mart facility, under scrutiny for its funding from the Permanent School Fund of Texas, will deliver in 2005. Guerrero says there is speculation Wal-Mart will be expanding its port space after two years. New construction could pick up, but "developers will need to carefully decide which particular submarket it's feasible to build," he stresses.

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