Underpinning this retailer-friendly business climate is that holy grail of economic development, job growth. Citing U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics numbers, the report says that the Washington metro area economy generated 65,600 new payroll jobs in the 12 months ending in September. This represents a 2.3% rate of growth, compared to 1.3% nationally.
These jobs aren't just any jobs. Many are well paying. "Professional and business services firms--particularly contractors who serve the federal government--added 22,700 net jobs to the Washington employment base over the last 12 months, bolstering the local economy and maintaining job growth well above the long-term average of 50,000 per year," Delta notes. Moreover, the BLS puts the Washington area unemployment rate at 3.2% in August 2004, down from 3.5% 12 months before and well below a cyclical high of 4.0% in June 2002. This is the lowest rate in the nation among major metro markets and compares favorably to the national rate of 5.4% in August.
The impetus for this job creation is, of course, the federal government, as it ramps up defense and intelligence spending, a process that "should continue for years," says the report, "gradually driving job growth higher as contractors expand to address new assignments for the government. And as people flow to the region and jobs proliferate, the retail sector, food services, and the construction sector will continue to churn out jobs to support the region's growing population."
Retail real estate owners are well-placed to benefit from this economic strength. The Washington area has over 112 million sf of shopping centers, of which 63.3 millionsf is in 664 grocery-anchored neighborhood shopping centers. According to Delta, rental rates at neighborhood centers rose 1.4% in 2004 on lower vacancy. Metro-wide, average rents are $24.60 per sf at year-end 2004, and "rents are likely to riseapproximately 2% in 2005, as insufficient new product is being developed."
Some big box retailers have noticed, apparently, that parts of the District of Columbia itself are underserved. Before its bankruptcy, Kmart had been looking at sites in DC, but that fell through. Eventually, Target decided that it would open a store in the Columbia Heights neighborhood of the District, with construction to begin in the spring of 2005 and completed in 2007. The District is providing $42 million in public financing toward the project, Delta notes, which will probably be used to build a nearby, 1,000-vehicle parking garage.
Want to continue reading?
Become a Free ALM Digital Reader.
Once you are an ALM Digital Member, you’ll receive:
- Breaking commercial real estate news and analysis, on-site and via our newsletters and custom alerts
- Educational webcasts, white papers, and ebooks from industry thought leaders
- Critical coverage of the property casualty insurance and financial advisory markets on our other ALM sites, PropertyCasualty360 and ThinkAdvisor
Already have an account? Sign In Now
*May exclude premium content© 2024 ALM Global, LLC, All Rights Reserved. Request academic re-use from www.copyright.com. All other uses, submit a request to [email protected]. For more information visit Asset & Logo Licensing.