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CHICAGO-Federated Department Stores Inc.’s decision to replace the Marshall Field’s name with Macy’s could prove costly, at least one top retail expert believes. On the other hand, a long-time civic booster sees only upside in Macy’s branching into the market, albeit at the demise of the Marshall Field’s name.

John Melaniphy III predicts the decision could result in a 20% drop in local same-store sales in the first year the 62 Marshall Field’s become Macy’s. “We feel initially there’ll be some backlash,” Melaniphy says, adding stores in the Chicago market will suffer the greatest impact. “Certainly, we saw sales slide when Target bought Field’s. We’ve seen sales decline at malls when the consumer is uneasy about a particular retailer or a theater.”

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