NEW YORK CITY-New York-based Fitch Ratings presented its 2007 CMBS outlook on Wednesday. Patty Bach, head of Fitch’s CMBS research outlined the last year and gave Fitch’s outlook for 2007. “Fitch’s overall 2007 outlook for CMBS is stable to improving,” Bach said.

By the end of December, CMBS issuance is expected to top $200 billion in 2006, a 20% increase from 2005 when issuance increased 80% from the year prior. While 2006 rose significantly less than 2005, the numbers were still positive, a trend Fitch expects to see in 2007. The company predicts another 20% increase next year.

Bach said 2007 issuance will be impacted by “the sectors ability to attract capital and increase competition for debt and equity products which should keep cap rates relatively low. Any upward pressure on cap rates is expected to be outpaced by continued improvement in property fundamentals, therefore property valuations are expected to remain relatively high which should translate into more property transactions and thus an increased need for financing.”

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