Economically, "we are still significantly behind the rest of the US," relayed Bluestone in reporting that 63,000 natives have fled Massachusetts since 2000 to destinations as far a field as Arizona, North Carolina and Florida. The most troubling aspect, he said, is that the 25- to 34-year-old age group is leading the exodus, thinning a segment critical to survival of any community. "We are seeding Red Sox nation" beyond New England, Bluestone advised to the RealShare Boston audience of 375 attendees, imploring stakeholders to "redouble efforts" to reduce housing costs and stem the outflow.

Speaking only for a few minutes, Bluestone's remarks resonated throughout the half-day conference, as the Northeastern University professor's outlook was supported several times by some and challenged by contrarians. Veteran Boston broker William McCall, who spoke immediately after Bluestone, also fretted over tepid state employment levels, which despite an 8,000-position increase in the first quarter, is still down by 100,000 since the recession of 2001 took hold. "I'm having a hard time believing we're going to sustain [the recovery] because we're not creating enough jobs--it's as simple as that," said McCall, who also questioned the ability of landlords to push office rents and talk that new speculative office space is needed in Boston.

McCall's discussion was engendered by a "Fact or Fiction" program in which Paradigm Properties president Kevin McCall and the un-related broker answered either/or to nine questions, then elaborated on their selections. RealShare Boston offered a variety of formats to keep the topics fresh and create interaction among the roster of high-level speakers and the audience. Iconic Boston developers Thomas Alperin, Ronald Druker and Stephen Karp participated in a town meeting arrangement in which they assessed local market trends and handicapped the industry's ability to compete in an increasingly tight financial environment.

The financial arena was further vetted during a panel moderated by Boston investment sales legend Robert Griffin and in one of several concurrent sessions that brought together debt and equity talent from such firms as Citibank, GE Capital Real Estate, CBRE | Melody and Potomac Realty Capital. The latter event was concentrated on recent upheaval in the debt markets that has led to some deals being re-traded and more rigid underwriting. "The CMBS market is certainly volatile to say the least," offered GE Real Estate director David Cohen, nonetheless praising the likely return of stricter underwriting. "That is music to our ears."

The panel moderated by Griffin concentrated on attitudes and interest in buying commercial assets in Boston. Calling it the hottest market in his 28 years as an investment sales broker, Griffin offered that "Boston has been written off many times" only to come back stronger than ever, and he was among those insisting that the city will shrug off the lethargy lingering from the 2001 recession. Another industry veteran, Meredith & Grew principal Ronald Perry, provided data indicating the city's office market has already come back to pre-recession levels. Vacancy rates that have fallen 7% since 2004 to 10%, he indicated, and estimated rental rates are now approaching $60 per sf. "We think the fundamentals and the demand in Boston are good right now," says Perry, particularly for class A tower space that helps drive pricing.

RealShare Boston, along with other RealShare events nationwide, is produced by Real Estate Media, publishers of GlobeSt.com, GlobeSt.RETAIL, Real Estate Forum magazine and other print and online publications devoted to commercial real estate.

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