John McCloud is editor of Industry Property Journal, from which this article is excerpted.
Chicago—Some $22.35 billion in US industrial properties changed hands in the first half of 2007, according to statistics provided exclusively to IPJ by locally based Jones Lang LaSalle. Of that amount, 29% or $6.5 billion involved a cross-border buyer, seller or both. That includes global sources of capital originating in more than one country.
The statistics come from a Jones Lang report analyzing worldwide direct real estate investment from January through June. According to the report, such investment reached a record $382 billion--16.6% higher than the same period last year. Jones Lang notes global real estate investment grew for the 16th consecutive quarter, with the Americas, Europe and the Asia-Pacific region all achieving record investment volumes.
European investment volumes for all property categories rose 4% to $156.6 billion, with the UK, Germany and France accounting for more than two thirds of that volume. Quality assets are particularly in demand. The UK experienced strong sales of trophy assets, with trades of six single assets valued at more than $1 billion, compared to only one in all of 2006. Prime trophy assets also attracted competitive bidding in Germany and France. Global, US, Irish and Spanish investors were dominant cross-border investors. German funds made a strong return to the European investment markets, many having significant liquidity after heavy selling activity in 2006.
Investment in Asia Pacific rose 12% to $55 billion, with a substantial proportion of the increase representing additional cross-border investment. Japan, China and Singapore represented the strongest real estate markets in the region. Singapore became the hottest global market, with prime capital values increasing by 50%, fueled by astounding rental growth and yield compression.
In the Americas, total real estate investment surged 32% to $170.7 billion, primarily driven by the trading of prime US properties acquired as a part of private equity led REIT privatizations and subsequent portfolio break-ups. Domestic investors bought most of the prime assets, a notable change from 2006. However, cross-border investment also increased. Latin America had an especially strong first half of the year as global, North American and European investors vied for assets there.
With regard to US industrial trades, domestic investors were dominant on the buy side. US sources bought $19.8 billion of industrial product or 88.3% of total volume. Global sources purchased $2.3 billion or about 10.3% of the total. Of the remaining 1.4%, UK investors bought $147 million and buyers from the Netherlands bought $103 million. The Netherlands was the next largest source of capital for industrial property, providing $63 million. On the sell-side, US investors disposed of 79.8% of the transaction volume and global investors accounted for another 18.8%.
Cary Krier, newly hired senior vice president in the Dallas office of the Jones Lang's capital market groups, says foreign interest in US industrial real estate remains limited because of its low-profile nature. "It's not very sexy, and that's probably the biggest reason the international guys don't participate," he observes. "They like to own things they can point at. Industrial is not on their radar screens. People from the Mid-East and Asia, who are new to this market, don't get out beyond the centers of major cities. I think they'll get there eventually, but not yet."
As for US investment in other parts of the world, Krier says there's huge demand for industrial expertise in terms of development, but completed investment product remains in short supply. "I don't think capital flow tracks as much on investment as on development," he says. "Like everything else, they're catching up to us, but they've got a ways to go."
A major advantage to industrial product now, Krier adds, is that purchases generally have not been highly leveraged, meaning sales are less affected by the current lending crisis. "The leverage for industrial deals is typically 60% to 70%," he adds, "and that kind of loan is still available. Nobody is stretching to do much right now, so there's less velocity, but overall the lending situation should have minimal impact on industrial."
In terms of general investment, Steve Collins, managing director of Jones Lang's international capital group, reports a "flight to yield" in the Americas, with investors seeking relative value in secondary and tertiary markets less affected by recent yield compression.
In contrast, Collins says, Europe is experiencing a "flight to quality," with the pricing for some secondary assets now considered too close to that of prime assets. Asia is increasingly becoming the destination of choice for opportunistic international capital due to continuing strong economic growth and low interest rates, he adds.
According to Tony Horrell, CEO of Jones Lang's European capital markets group, the company expects global real estate markets to remain strong for the remainder of the year, though investors will likely become increasingly selective about markets. "Globally, we continue to see a weight of money targeting the sector, as evidenced by the record real estate funds raised by private equity in recent months," he explains. "Cross-border investment remains strong, driven by global, Middle East, North American, Irish, German and Australian funds."
Want to continue reading?
Become a Free ALM Digital Reader.
Once you are an ALM Digital Member, you’ll receive:
- Breaking commercial real estate news and analysis, on-site and via our newsletters and custom alerts
- Educational webcasts, white papers, and ebooks from industry thought leaders
- Critical coverage of the property casualty insurance and financial advisory markets on our other ALM sites, PropertyCasualty360 and ThinkAdvisor
Already have an account? Sign In Now
*May exclude premium content© 2024 ALM Global, LLC, All Rights Reserved. Request academic re-use from www.copyright.com. All other uses, submit a request to [email protected]. For more information visit Asset & Logo Licensing.