Last Wednesday evening, I was chatting with an investment banker neighbor about the financial markets travail. He wondered aloud about the future of Bear Stearns: "What's the point, what are they offering that their stronger competitors can do much better?" He said he didn't see them surviving. And he mentioned some other high profile names that he thought weren't too secure either.
In fact, by Friday Bear was on life support and only because of an unprecedented Fed move to shore up some of their bad securities, akin to hooking up a feeding tube and respirator to someone without insurance to pay at the emergency room. And in fact Bear's days are numbered with Sunday's announcement of a JP Morgan takeover. Jamie Dimon, a proven M&A surgeon, will take the parts and people that may add some value and amputate the rest.
And so what happens to that massive Bear headquarters on Madison Avenue near Grand Central? A more than nice building -- it's triple mint. It will fill back up with that great location. Maybe JPM will move into it and leave some of its nearby digs. But here we go, the looming Wall Street debacle starts to impact the stalwart Manhattan office market. The Street starts to slim down and reconfigure and that only means rising vacancy rates in America's most important office center. And how's that hedge fund guy you know doing in his $100 per square foot space?
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