"The market is a bit softer and there are fewer tenants looking for space," admits Matt Harding, president and COO of Levin Management in North Plainfield. "I would say that the mood is cautious. People are holding back a little bit, waiting to see what the rest of the year will bring."
According to Harding, retail leasing nationwide has been hit by major companies' decisions to halt or drastically scale back expansion plans. Ed Walters, founder and partner with the Barnegat-based Walters Group, notes that middle-tier stores are especially feeling the economic pinch and pulling back on expansion plans.
The news is not all doom and gloom, fortunately. Some stores are doing well and still seeking space despite, or, in some cases, because of, the bad economy. High-end shops and boutiques as well as bargain stores such as Target and CostCo are riding the storm with relative ease, even thriving.
[IMGCAP(2)]"The national numbers say that the CostCos and Targets are doing better now than they were during the good times," notes Walters.
New Jersey's demographics are also helping.
"The density and prosperity of our population makes us popular for retailers who are looking and want to locate in the state," says Harding. "Also, the New Jersey economy is more diversified than other parts of the country, so we tend to not quite hit the peaks or the valleys of the economic cycle that other parts of the country do. We're not seeing big increases in vacancy rates as of yet."
So, many retail brokers and developers remain optimistic: both Levin and Walters are currently working on major retail projects. Levin has Edgewater Square in Edgewater, a mixed-use site with residential, retail and the local municipal building in the works, and the Walters Group is welcoming its first tenants to Stafford Park, its own residential/retail/office mixed-use project in Stafford. Both projects illustrate the new, increasingly popular trend in retail development: shops are rarely found isolated. Now, a residential and often an office component are vital to the project, the various aspects perhaps acting as a buffer when things go sour in one segment or another.
New Jersey has not yet felt the full sting of the downturn, and perhaps it never will, but developers are still somewhat cautious, though hopeful that the state and its retail market will escape with few bruises.
"We'll have to wait and see how long the current conditions lasts and what the ultimate impact will be," says Harding, "but overall I think New Jersey is somewhat insulated."
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