According to Daniel Brenna, a founder and principal with Capital Real Estate Group, there are a number of macro forces that indicate dense development is the way of the future. He cited a Brookings Institute study which found that the US is experiencing perhaps its most significant demographic, economic and social changes since the turn of the 20th century. These changes include an aging and growing population, increased urbanization, climate change and rising fuel costs. The country is on track to add 100 million citizens by 2035, which is likely to create a building boom.

[IMGCAP(2)]"Half the stores and homes and buildings we'll need for all these people haven't been built yet," said Brenna. It is estimated that the country will need about 60-million new housing units by 2030. And due to the rising costs of fuel and environmental concerns, it's likely that people will increasingly look for that housing to be located near transit hubs. Already, transit ridership has begun to spike and demand has risen for compact housing near train stations.

These forces are creating an ideal opportunity for the state to pursue dense, mixed-use developments similar to the town squares that were built before post-war suburbanization. This type of development "creates vibrant spaces, saves open space, generates investment demand and supports an alternative transportation infrastructure," according to Peter Kasabach, executive director of New Jersey Future. Towns that have already begun to pursue this type of growth are reaping the benefits. Joel Schwartz, a principal with Landmark Cos. LLC, described his company's redevelopment of parts of downtown Metuchen and Rahway, which created walkable communities with a mix of retail and residential. James Maley, an attorney and the mayor of Collingswood, gave an overview of the revitalization of his town, which struggled after the 1960's.

When Maley took office, the town was plagued by high vacancy rates, an overburdened school system and a large, deteriorating apartment complex known as the Parkview Apartments. The town's government, after failing to reach an agreement with Parkview's owners to rehabilitate the site, threatened to use eminent domain. The 1,000-unit complex was eventually redeveloped and sold by the town in 2006. The town received a return on their investment in Parkview of $4 million, which is now used for PRIDE grants—grants of $150 a year for four years for residents to make improvements to their properties. Collingswood has experienced a major turnaround since the mid-90s, and Maley is now focused on further improving the town by creating mixed-use developments. One such development, the Lumber Yard project, features condos on top of restaurants and retail space. One unit of the project is open and fully occupied. Maley now hopes to encourage development near the town's Speedline train station, which provides access to Philadelphia.

Despite the successes of Collingswood and other similar towns, the state is still dragging its feet when it comes to actively encouraging dense, mixed-use development. Kasabach points to municipalities' reluctance to change zoning laws to allow for dense development rather than sprawl as a major obstacle. In order to overcome that, New Jersey Future has drafted legislation that, once passed, would offer incentives to municipalities to zone for and build dense developments near transit hubs. The Smart Housing Incentive Act will be up for review this fall.

"The high price of gas and the economic slump can focus redevelopment and development where the infrastructure, jobs and transportation exist," Kasabach said. "There may be 101 reasons why we shouldn't do this, but the reasons we should do it are far more important." His fellow panelists agreed.

"The forces are all in place," said Brenna. "You're not going to stop population growth. The important thing is to get these people back into the cities."

Want to continue reading?
Become a Free ALM Digital Reader.

Once you are an ALM Digital Member, you’ll receive:

  • Breaking commercial real estate news and analysis, on-site and via our newsletters and custom alerts
  • Educational webcasts, white papers, and ebooks from industry thought leaders
  • Critical coverage of the property casualty insurance and financial advisory markets on our other ALM sites, PropertyCasualty360 and ThinkAdvisor
NOT FOR REPRINT

© 2024 ALM Global, LLC, All Rights Reserved. Request academic re-use from www.copyright.com. All other uses, submit a request to [email protected]. For more information visit Asset & Logo Licensing.