Helping to survey--and make sense of--this post-meltdown landscape was a power panel of five commercial real estate experts convened by Salustri for the latest in the series of webinars produced by GlobeSt.com. Titled "Wall Street in a Freefall: The Winners and Losers," the hour-long discussion held Sept. 26 charted the differences between now and a month ago as well as a year ago, how this capital markets crisis differs from previous downturns and how savvy operators could make the most of the opportunities it will present. (Listen to a replay of the event, available through Dec. 26, here.)

Among the Wall Street downturns seen over the past couple of decades, the current one looms as "the most severe and the most dangerous," in the words of Anthony LoPinto, CEO of Equinox Partners and a regular blogger on GlobeSt.com. However, fellow panelist Robert White Jr., president of Real Capital Analytics, pointed out, "it's absolutely correct to make the distinction between what's going on in the capital markets and what's going on in the space markets." One thing distinguishing this downturn from others, panelists said, is that real estate fundamentals are better able to withstand the shocks.

Those shocks, however, will start rippling down from Wall Street to Main Street, panelists agreed. Even so, said Bruce Mosler, president and CEO of Cushman & Wakefield, "we don't have double-digit vacancy." Nor does Mosler envision vacancy rates climbing into the teens and 20s as in down markets of the past.

Continue Reading for Free

Register and gain access to:

  • Breaking commercial real estate news and analysis, on-site and via our newsletters and custom alerts
  • Educational webcasts, white papers, and ebooks from industry thought leaders
  • Critical coverage of the property casualty insurance and financial advisory markets on our other ALM sites, PropertyCasualty360 and ThinkAdvisor
NOT FOR REPRINT

© 2024 ALM Global, LLC, All Rights Reserved. Request academic re-use from www.copyright.com. All other uses, submit a request to [email protected]. For more information visit Asset & Logo Licensing.

Paul Bubny

Paul Bubny is managing editor of Real Estate Forum and GlobeSt.com. He has been reporting on business since 1988 and on commercial real estate since 2007. He is based at ALM Real Estate Media Group's offices in New York City.