Moody's on Thursday put 7,942 tranches of subprime RMBS on review for possible downgrade. The securities were originally valued at a total of $680 billion, but Moody's projects the losses for the RMBS at anywhere from 12% to 14% in the case of the '05 bonds to 33% to 37% on those issued in '07. In a statement, the agency cites "continued deterioration in home prices, rising loss severities on liquidated loans, persistent elevated default rates and progressively diminishing prepayment rates throughout the sector."

Although the actions taken by Moody's on the securities will vary, "it is likely that the vast majority of mezzanine and subordinate certificates currently rated B or above would be downgraded to ratings of Caa or below, particularly for bonds issued in 2006 and 2007," according to the agency. "Given the level of losses currently being projected, a majority of senior certificates will likely be downgraded below investment grade."

Earlier this week, Fitch expressed concern that changes to New York State's rent regulations could adversely affect several New York City-based large multifamily loans backing CMBS and result in downgrades. The state Senate is considering legislation to enact the changes; the Assembly approved a bill earlier this month.

Continue Reading for Free

Register and gain access to:

  • Breaking commercial real estate news and analysis, on-site and via our newsletters and custom alerts
  • Educational webcasts, white papers, and ebooks from industry thought leaders
  • Critical coverage of the property casualty insurance and financial advisory markets on our other ALM sites, PropertyCasualty360 and ThinkAdvisor
NOT FOR REPRINT

© 2024 ALM Global, LLC, All Rights Reserved. Request academic re-use from www.copyright.com. All other uses, submit a request to [email protected]. For more information visit Asset & Logo Licensing.

Paul Bubny

Paul Bubny is managing editor of Real Estate Forum and GlobeSt.com. He has been reporting on business since 1988 and on commercial real estate since 2007. He is based at ALM Real Estate Media Group's offices in New York City.