NorthMarq Capital's Scott

Although multifamily has been less damaged by the recession than other commercial property types, it has nevertheless seen its occupancy erode even as landlords offer generous concessions. A recent GlobeSt.com Quick Poll posed this question: “Apartment Occupancy is High. Rent Hikes to Follow?” Nearly half–47%–said no. More than a quarter, 28%, answered yes, while 25% responded that it was too soon to tell. Mark Scott, managing director and senior vice president at NorthMarq Capital in Parsippany, NJ, tells GlobeSt.com that while the long-term outlook for the multifamily sector is strong, rental increases are not on the immediate horizon.

“I just came back from the ULI conference in San Francisco, and some of the discussion there was that they expect rents to spike in 2011. The reason for that is the lack of multifamily construction that is going on today.

Multifamily demand will continue to grow as our population continues to increase. The US crossed over 300 million residents a few years ago, and we are going to cross over 400 million in a few more years. That bodes well for rents in the long term. But in the short term, we need to rebuild our occupancy base. There has been softening throughout the nation as people have either moved back in with Mom and Dad or partnered up with roommates. That has pushed vacancy rates higher across the nation, albeit multifamily has a lower vacancy rate than industrial, office and retail. Certainly, multifamily is the sector that looks best today. But we have to rebuild the occupancy base. It’s a very competitive market out there for tenants.