FAIRFIELD, NJ-Grubb & Ellis Co. has released its 2010 real estate forecast, which indicates that 2010 commercial real estate fundamentals will decline more slowly than in 2009, with most property types reaching bottom near the end of the year and beginning a slow recovery starting in 2011.

“The national economy has begun a slow and cautious recovery, but the labor market, which often lags the broader economy, will turn around only gradually with sustained improvement unlikely before the second half of 2010,” says Bob Bach, senior vice president and chief economist of Grubb & Ellis. “Because commercial real estate lags the labor market, it still has a ways to go before reaching its own low point. The good news is that the freefall we saw in 2009 is over and the future is more certain, giving owners and users of real estate the confidence to begin making decisions again.”

The Northern and Central New Jersey markets are expected to follow national trends, with all property types experiencing further increases in vacancy with downward pressure on asking rental rates. However, with the region’s proximity to New York City and the fact that virtually no new construction deliveries are on the horizon, long-term prospects for New Jersey are good.

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