It comes as no surprise then that the Atlanta industrial market went through a major adjustment in 2009, recording the largest occupancy loss ever in a year. Tenants gave back almost 3.3 million square feet of industrial space over the past 12 months, according to a recent Colliers International report. Industrial vacancy in the city has increased 0.8% from 2008 and finished the year at 13.3%, the highest industrial vacancy rate ever recorded in Atlanta's history.

Given the city's dominance in both housing construction and population growth over the past decade, the economic downturn impacted the industrial market the most, explains Mike Spears, senior vice president and manager at Colliers. "The majority of Metro Atlanta jobs lost in 2009 were in manufacturing and construction, closely associated with the local housing market. Tenants in these industries found themselves no longer in need of their industrial spaces causing demand to plummet and vacancy to rise," he says. Still, pockets of demand remained. Food industry tenants--like Smuckers, Kraft and Trader Joe's--provided much of Atlanta's industrial leasing activity throughout the year, signing some of the largest deals in the region.

Although located just outside of the Colliers tracked industrial market, General Mills signed for a distribution facility of 1.5 million square feet, which was the region's biggest deal in 2009. "The company's decision on location further solidifies Atlanta as the major distribution hub in the southeast," says Spears.

Heading into 2010 a renewed optimism has returned to the market. Historical absorption figures over the past decade suggest it will take at least 2.5 years for Atlanta to return to a normal vacancy rate of 10%. According to Spears, a number of factors must occur in order for this to transpire, but two of the most important ones involve supply and demand. "To return to normal vacancy, supply will need to be limited to existing properties and demand will need to make its way back into the market. The good news is that Atlanta's industrial market currently has no significant development activity taking place," he says. This means existing vacancies will be the only product available to industrial users.

Craig Meyer, managing director and head of Jones Lang LaSalle's North American Industrial Services team agrees that there will be no new construction in the region for the foreseeable future. And he adds that demand should increase noticeably, thanks to the city's "solid infrastructure and location."

Indeed, some interest is beginning to creep back into the market, in the form of Loew's, Proctor & Gamble, Clorox and Clearwater Paper, each of which is seeking requirements of at least 500,000 square feet and up.

Local economists believe the economic recovery will be long and drawn out. The same can be expected for Atlanta's industrial market. The time it takes for vacancy to get back down to 10% will be subject to various economic factors. It will also depend on whether or not companies seek existing facilities for their warehouse and/or distribution requirements rather than build-to-suits. Nevertheless, forecasts suggest of all other property types, the industrial market in Atlanta will recover quickest.

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