New Jersey employers eliminated 61,400 positions in the past 12 months, or 1.6% of payrolls, says Michael Fasano, vice president and regional manager of the New Jersey office of Marcus & Millichap Real Estate Investment Services. Layoffs peaked during the preceding year, when 176,100 employees were let go. Blue-collar sectors have been hit hardest by economic turmoil, though the pace of layoffs has begun to slow. "In the most recent 12-month period, construction and manufacturing employers shed a total of 35,500 jobs, or an aggregate staffing cut of 8.5%," he says, adding, "In the previous year, head counts in these sectors were slashed by 55,400 positions. The health services sector has expanded by 12,300 workers, or 2.1%, since the first quarter of 2009. Roughly 6,500 jobs were created in the segment during the previous one-year stretch."

Although government payrolls have gained about 5,000 positions in the past year, changes to the state budget will cut discretionary, nonpermanent funding to cities, hospitals, school districts and public universities. As a result, says Fasano, "a significant but indeterminate number of jobs will likely be cut during the second half of 2010."

Confronted by the challenging economic conditions, many business sectors remain reluctant to make significant capital and labor investments, which has translated into a diminished appetite for additional real estate requirements. After slipping to 22.6% at year-end 2009, the Northern and Central New Jersey overall office availability rate eclipsed 23% during the first quarter, says Grubb & Ellis vice president and client services manager Stephen Jenco, who authored the report. Nearly 35.6 million square feet of direct and sublet space was available in the office market in early 2010 compared to 32.1 million square feet being marketed one year ago.

A significant portion of the negative absorption that occurred in the office market could be attributed to additional availabilities and diminished demand within Central New Jersey. In fact, 749,000 square feet out of the 819,200 square feet of negative absorption in the office market was concentrated in the central part of the state. With the exception of the Monmouth East/GSP and Route 18/8A Middlesex submarkets, the remaining eight Central New Jersey office markets registered negative absorption in early 2010, says Grubb & Ellis. Furthermore, four out of these eight submarkets posted negative absorption in excess of 150,000 square feet each. With nearly 228,500 square feet of negative net absorption, the MetroPark/GSP submarket recorded the largest volume of negative absorption not only in Central New Jersey, but in the entire state as well.

Lease renewals and extensions, rather than significant real estate expansions, will continue to generate headlines in the Northern and Central New Jersey office market during 2010. Many companies with expiring leases are expected to take advantage of aggressive renewal terms being proposed by landlords. Among the transactions recently completed was Torre Lazur's renewal of 61,950 square feet at 20 Waterview Blvd. in Parsippany, while Integrated Communications signed a 43,100-square-foot lease, also in Parsippany. In addition, Par Pharmaceutical Companies signed a 59,490-square-foot renewal at 300 Tice Blvd. in Woodcliff Lake and Hamburg SdNorth America renewed 32,000 square feet for its North American headquarters at 465 South St. in Morris Township. According to the Grubb & Ellis report, landlords willing to address their tenants' needs and concerns have often been able to maintain stable tenant rosters despite challenging real estate market conditions.

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