After the last two big recessions in the mid-seventies and early eighties, the economy grew at close to 6% in the aftermath. This time around, the recession is being a lot more stubborn.
The nation has averaged less than half that 6% growth rate of previous post-recession periods, according to Los Angeles-based Christopher Thornberg, who points out that the unemployment rate, which is typically falling by this point in the recovery, has stayed near 10%.
“There is no doubt that the post-recession job growth in the US has left much to be desired,” says Thornberg, economist and founding principal of Beacon Economics. “Relative to the 8.5 million private-sector jobs lost between December 2007 and December 2009, we still have a long way to go before the labor markets get back to pre-recession levels.”
That job loss is one of the most daunting obstacles that the economy faces, according to Thornberg and others who track the employment market. Even the most optimistic forecasts point out that replacing 8.5 million jobs will take years.
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