LOS ANGELES-Gary Glick, a partner in the retail group at Cox, Castle & Nicholson in Los Angeles, who is working on just about every type of transaction you can imagine with respect to retail development and leasing, talks with GlobeSt.com about current trends in the retail market, tenant retention, and the new normal.

GlobeSt.com: Since you specialize in shopping center development and retail leasing, you clearly have your pulse on the retail market. What trends are you seeing?

Glick: We are seeing a slow incremental increase in all activity other than traditional ground-up development, which generally needs the support of new housing. However, some new development and redevelopment is occurring in certain in-fill locations. And some new development is viable when a developer has big box interest from retailers like Target, Costco, Wal-Mart, Kohl’s, Home Depot and Lowes. However, generally, this development must not rely on a lot of additional mid-size retailers since they will be hard to attract.

Leasing remains soft with the exception of value oriented retailers like Marshalls and Ross. However, many of the other mid-size retailers have become more active filling vacancies left by Linens, Circuit City and Borders, albeit at reduced rents. Shop tenant leasing remains quite challenging.

On the investment side, sales activity has picked up significantly for core properties. Cap rates remain low for these properties. However, sales of non-core properties remain challenging. Lenders have also returned to the market; however, underwriting standards are strict.

GlobeSt.com: What type of retail deals are you working on these days?

Glick: We are working on just about every type of transaction you can imagine with respect to retail development and leasing. It is a nice incremental uptick in activity from the first six months of 2009, when the retail markets were “stuck” like much of the US economy. We are involved in selling parcels to very large retailers, leases with tenants like Marshalls, Ross, Dick's, Trader Joe's, Fresh & Easy and Chase, and the disposition and acquisition of operating shopping centers

GlobeSt.com: What are you seeing your client developers and owners focus on? Expanding their centers at all?

Glick: Not really. They spend more of their time on tenant retention. This involves much more time on property management—keeping their centers looking good and attempting to lease vacant shop space, often by attracting shop tenants from less desirable properties at comparable rental rates.

GlobeSt.com: Some experts we have recently spoken with have mentioned that development isn't coming back in retail. What are your thoughts on that?

Glick: In developing communities where retail follows housing, ground up development may still be five years or more away. The new housing market is still reeling. We do not see this getting significantly better for many years, especially with the number of foreclosures in California. However, new development is still quite viable where housing densities already exist.

GlobeSt.com: Is the retail recession ending, or do we have a ways to go? Are we entering a period of normalcy?

Glick: The new normal is nothing we have seen for a few decades. However, the economy is slowly improving—it is just going to be a very slow incremental improvement. Unfortunately, the recovery is so fragile that it can be significantly impacted by numerous factors such as oil prices, war and European debt. Needless to say, the runaway debt in the US and California have to be reigned in as well for the economy to continue to expand.

GlobeSt.com: What are your tips on selling pads and parcels of shopping centers in today's market?

Glick: There are numerous buyers in the marketplace looking for returns. With bond, Treasury and CD rates at anemic levels, a buyer that can purchase a pad leased to a very good credit tenant like McDonald's in a well leased shopping center will do so at a very low cap rate. However, buying or selling a pad in an operating shopping center creates many issues that need to be addressed in well crafted documents. As an example, issues relating to easements, maintenance, use and exclusives need to be properly addressed. The sale of a single tenant property that is not part of a shopping center is a much easier transaction to document.

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Natalie Dolce

Natalie Dolce, editor-in-chief of GlobeSt.com and GlobeSt. Real Estate Forum, is responsible for working with editorial staff, freelancers and senior management to help plan the overarching vision that encompasses GlobeSt.com, including short-term and long-term goals for the website, how content integrates through the company’s other product lines and the overall quality of content. Previously she served as national executive editor and editor of the West Coast region for GlobeSt.com and Real Estate Forum, and was responsible for coverage of news and information pertaining to that vital real estate region. Prior to moving out to the Southern California office, she was Northeast bureau chief, covering New York City for GlobeSt.com. Her background includes a stint at InStyle Magazine, and as managing editor with New York Press, an alternative weekly New York City paper. In her career, she has also covered a variety of beats for M magazine, Arthur Frommer's Budget Travel, FashionLedge.com, and Co-Ed magazine. Dolce has also freelanced for a number of publications, including MSNBC.com and Museums New York magazine.