NEW YORK CITY- With an abundance of private equity capital flooding the marketplace this year, institutional investors, REITs, foreign entities and high-net worth investors are placing their chips on core assets, panelists agreed at the Urban Land Institute’s “Private Equity Capital: Raising, Accessing, Investing, Connecting” panel discussion during ULI’s “Real Estate Finance and Investment 2011” conference at the Sheraton New York Hotel in Midtown Manhattan.
Participants from the industry’s top firms--like Blackstone Real Estate Advisors, Clarion Partners, Jones Lang LaSalle, Apollo Global Real Estate and American Realty Capital--said due to the decline in the US construction market, distressed asset opportunities not only exist in America’s gateway cities, but also in emerging secondary and tertiary markets with high growth potential as well.
“There will be folks that will be investing in development, but what’s happening is that the rents haven’t gone up enough to really rationalize new development,” said Stephen J. Furnary, chairman and CEO at Clarion Partners, who explained that investors should invest in core or core plus assets, or recapitalize on maturing debt. “If I was a developer, I wouldn’t ask to get financed. Personally, if you could buy assets at 20% to 30% below the replacement cost in the markets in which you operate, why would you want to build something where the return on equity is going to be so sub-par that you wouldn’t make money?”
As a result of this trend, investors are eyeing major assets. One of the biggest note-buyers in the industry is Blackstone, which has recently purchased debt on trophy properties such as 1140 Ave. of the Americas and the Times Square Building at 229 W. 43rd Street in Midtown. In addition, ING Real Estate Finance (USA) recently closed a $138-million term loan with Blackstone in April for a diversified class A, 4.4-million-square-foot portfolio, including 17 bulk distribution industrial properties located in major transportation and distribution hubs throughout the Eastern US, including Harrisburg, PA; Central New Jersey; and Atlanta, among others.
In terms of mortgage financing, Frank Cohen, senior managing director at Blackstone, said though regional banks are still under pressure, the return of the CMBS market could aid in the recovery. “If that market just returns to a $40-billion to $50-billion market over the next two years, I think you will see a lot of capital going in,” Cohen said. “That’s also going to impact the liquidity we’ve been talking about.”
At the same time, the office sector is considered a “tough space” due to high unemployment, company downsizing and an increased amount of telecommuting, explained Joseph F. Azrack, conference co-chair and managing partner at Apollo Global Real Estate. However, he explained that multifamily and retail will ramp back up again, which in turn will positively affect office space. “If we grow our economy and if we grow our population with no new supply or limited new supply coming in over the next five years, we will absorb those things and we will get back to a much higher level of occupancy,” Azrack said.
With office in flux, Nicholas Schorsch, chairman and CEO of American Realty Capital, said investors should look toward healthcare properties that are campus-oriented. “With the demographics and the population over the next five years, it is terrific,” he said. “And we can’t outsource it. The fact that we have more people aging, we are going to need new facilities.”
Jay L. Koster II, president of the capital markets group at Jones Lang LaSalle, said the industry should look beyond the gateway cities. “The secondary markets that have risk haven’t seen a lot of movement, but the movement will come, especially in markets where there is more strong job growth.”
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