(Mark Your Calendars: RealShare Distressed Assets takes place Oct. 4-5 in Grapevine, TX. RealShare New York takes place Oct. 12 at the Marriott Marquis.)
NEW YORK CITY-Deutsche Bank and UBS AG are testing the waters by selling a $1.4-billion pool of public and private commercial mortgage-backed securities, SEC filings show on Wednesday afternoon. The move is a sign that investors are beginning to experiment with the CMBS once again after Goldman Sachs and Citigroup Inc. yanked $1.5 billion in CMBS off the market after ratings agency Standard & Poor’s declined to rate it just two weeks ago.
The pool consists of 43 commercial mortgages secured by 64 properties, including drivers such as the Fairfield Inn & Suites by Marriott and The Four Points by Sheraton in Midtown Manhattan; Three Allen Center in Houston; the Quadrus Office Park in Menlo Park, CA; the Providence Place Mall in Providence, RI; and the Columbus Sussex Portfolio of eight full-service hotels across eight states.
In this transaction, the German American Capital Corp., UBS Real Estate Securities Inc., Ladder Capital Finance LLC and Starwood Property Mortgage are acting as loan sellers, while Deutsche Bank Securities Inc., UBS Securities LLC, Ladder Capital Securities LLC, JP Morgan Securities LLC and Normura Securities International Inc. are serving as underwriters.
The deal comes on the heels of another volatile day on Wall Street. After the Dow regained over 400 points yesterday, political unrest in Europe and recession anxiety in America caused stocks to take another tumble this afternoon, but analysts predict this may become the new normal. Julia Tcherkassova, a CMBS strategist at Barclays Capital, could not comment on the UBS/Deutsche transaction specifically, but tells GlobeSt.com that volatility will likely persist in the CMBS space although it is not substantially underperforming overall.
“We see that CMBS is probably more volatile compared to some of the corporate unsecured REITs, and that’s something we’ve been highlighting in our research,” Tcherkassova says. “We believe that CMBS is attractive right now compared to some other products. In terms of spreads, we are probably back to the levels that we have seen last back in June of last year using Monday's close. Yesterday the markets snapped back and we’ve seen a lot of improvements in trading," she says, explaining that liquidity is improving as a result. "We've seen some marginal interest from the high yield funds, which is probably a good sign for liquidity in the market overall.”
Office properties represent the highest concentration of the pool at 38.6%, retail representing 24.1% and hotels representing 22.3%, according to a report from Fitch Ratings. The ratings agency reviewed 84.8% of the pool, and determined in a report that its average volatility score is 3.67, worse than the scores for the majority of other recent fixed-rate deals, but says its overall collateral quality was better than other recent deals. According to Fitch, the 2011 most recent fixed rate deals had an average volatility score of 3.30.
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