Osias

BEVERLY HILLS-Inflation fears and other factors will continue to push capital into real estate, according to a presentation at the fourth annual Allen Matkins View From The Top conference this week. This was just one of the conclusions presented by Michael Van Konynenburg, president of Eastdil Secured, in the keynote address at the conference.

Van Konynenburg, who was introduced by Allen Matkins managing partner David Osias, presented a comprehensive look at the questions facing the US and world economics, the impact of the various factors affecting commercial properties, and related topics such as debt, equity and CMBS issuance. He was one of a series of speakers and panelists who presented their views at the event, which has become one of the hot tickets in the world of L.A. business and real estate events. Master of ceremonies for the event was Allen Matkins partner Tony Natsis, chair of the firm's real estate practice and editor of its View From The Top Real Estate Market Update.

Natsis

Van Konynenburg posed a list of questions facing the economy and the commercial real estate industry, among them the stability of the European banks, whether the US is slipping back into recession, whether Fed policy can spur job growth, whether public markets are predicting a drop in private market values and "How does a global investment system built on 7%-8% annual returns adapt to the reality of earning 'nada' in low risk assets while fearing inflation?"

In answer to those and other questions, Van Konynenburg offered a list of conclusions and predictions. Among these: "European debt issues will continue to create material volatility until resolved. None off us should be complacent given the European situation and job issues. Sustained low rates will keep us from a 'double dip' and make capital very itchy to find homes. Investors will see limited opportunities in high-grade corporate and other fixed income investments. The need for yield will push capital into CMBS, public REIT’s, private REIT’s and direct real estate."

Kilroy's M. Eli Khouri

Among Van Konynenburg's predictions was that "Lingering fears of inflation will further push capital into real estate." Investors will be willing to pay for lower risk, he aaid, and pricing will increase for core, well-leased product." Expect lending standards and spreads both to tighten, he said.

Van Konynenburg also discussed the volatility in the stock and bond markets, the Fed's likely continuation of low interest rates, slow job growth and other forces at work in both the economy and the commercial real estate market. He was one of a number of key speakers including John Kilroy, Jr. and M. Eli Khouri of Kilroy Realty Corp., Victor J. Coleman and Alex Vouvalides of Hudson Pacific Properties; Jeff Dinkin of Regent Properties Inc., and David S. Bingswanger and Kevin J. Hayes of Lincoln Property Co.

The event included a 2011 Transactions and Market Predictions panel composed of Jeremy B. Fletcher of Beacon Capital Partners, Kevin A. Shannon of CB Richard Ellis, and Christopher S. Peatross of Swift Realty Partners LCC. The View From the Top conference, held this year at the Beverly Hilton Hotel, drew 600 attendees.

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