The economy depends heavily on policies set forth by whatever administration is in office and who controls Congress. Real estate values follow the economy and what policies the administration sets out. Things like EPA and the Labor Department and the Fed can make business work well or, as we see now, be severely constrained by added costs with onerous regulations. EPA can make development easy or extremely difficult and costly. Rules about affordable housing, ADA, ozone, and you name it can add unbearable costs to development by adding hard costs or a lot of time.

In the end it all comes down to leadership. Something that is virtually absent in this president. Here is a guy who never worked for a living. He never ran anything. Never had employees even as a manager, and never made a payroll. He never risked his own money on a deal or a development. He never worked in finance, never made a mortgage, never negotiated a busted mortgage with a homeowner, and never had to fire anyone. He is totally inexperienced at anything to do with the economy, banking, real estate or business. Yet he is the president setting all sorts of policies, priorities, guidance for his cabinet secretaries, military generals, and setting the agenda for where government spends its money like Selindra. Or using stimulus money to pay back the teachers union instead of in support of small businesses who actually hire people. He never earned a big income, until he ran for president, so far as we know, so he has no idea that if you earn a lot, then you invest in new ventures, or you buy stocks and bonds which provide the capital for business to grow and hire.

Al Checchi was chairman of Northwest Airlines during its toughest days. He invested his money and brain power to create jobs and value for shareholders. He had to have tough negotiations with the staff and unions. He was a very senior executive at Marriott and Disney where he had to undertake very creative and complex deal structuring to build those companies. He became a very effective leader by working his way up in corporate America from nowhere, and then by being responsible for building companies. He is the exact counterpoint to Obama in every way.

Al just released a book, The Change Maker which is all about how he worked to become an effective leader and then it is all about the things that the next president should consider doing to solve the major issues constraining economic growth and confidence in America. Al is not running for office, but if you want to learn how one very successful manager became an important leader, and what we all need to push for to fix America, then you need to read his book. It stands out, and provides good ideas for the way forward which is why I devoted this blog to it, and why I likely would never write about another author or individual normally.

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Joel Ross

Joel Ross began his career in Wall St as an investment banker in 1965, handling corporate advisory matters for a variety of clients. During the seventies he was CEO of North American operations for a UK based conglomerate, and sat on the parent company board. In 1981, he began his own firm handling leveraged buyouts, investment banking and real estate financing. In 1984 Ross began providing investment banking services and arranging financing for real estate transactions with his own firm, Ross Properties, Inc. In 1993 Ross and a partner, Lexington Mortgage, created the first Wall St hotel CMBS program in conjunction with Nomura. They went on to develop a similar CMBS program for another major Wall St investment bank and for five leading hotel companies. Lexington, in partnership with Mr. Ross established a hotel mortgage bank table funded by an investment bank, and making all CMBS hotel loans on their behalf. In 1999 he formed Citadel Realty Advisors as a successor to Ross Properties Corp., focusing on real estate investment banking in the US, UK and Paris. He has closed over $3.0 billion of financings for office, hotel, retail, land and multifamily projects. Ross is also a founder of Market Street Investors, a brownfield land development company, and has been involved in the acquisition of notes on defaulted loans and various REO assets in conjunction with several major investors. Ross was an adjunct professor in the graduate program at the NYU Hotel School. He is a member of Urban Land Institute and was a member of the leadership of his ULI council. In 1999, he conceived and co-authored with PricewaterhouseCoopers, the Hotel Mortgage Performance Report, a major study of hotel mortgage default rates.