Years from now, we’ll be telling our grandchildren about Halloween 2011 and the gruesome tale of the Euro Debt Crisis. Imagine their nightmares about zombie politicians trying to contain the walking dead in Greece, at the risk of losing Italy and Spain to the space-borne virus.

The first hapless victim was Dexia, a Belgium bank that easily passed those patsy stress tests in July and found insolvent in October. With the European banking system undercapitalized for the inevitable impact of sovereign restructurings, it’s like comely teenage lasses checking into the Bates Motel.

As we watch the gasping Euro economy, we know that the sequel will be staged in the United States, unless generational leadership is shown by the US bipartisan debt-reduction committee. This committee needs to chainsaw $3 trillion from federal spending over 10 years to engender business confidence and inspire the capital markets.

The reason commercial real estate investors are concerned about the global debt crisis is that we may witness a systemic shock at anytime but, alas, probably not where most people will be looking. Certainly US banks saw their market valuations butchered due to perhaps unfounded concerns about European contagion.

While the American global banks are unlikely to be grim statistics, be cautious about funding commitments. The Slasher will sneak up and surprise its proud victim, just as it dismembered Enron and Lehman.

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