NEW YORK CITY-After weathering the great Lehman collapse of 2008, Manhattan’s top players at Bloomberg Link’s 2011 Commercial Real Estate Conference were generally optimistic about the future of the New York City commercial real estate market despite looming clouds over Wall Street. From financing large-scale projects like One57, to the repositioning of the Empire State Building, the construction of the International Gem Tower and condo conversions on the Upper East Side, New York’s CRE industry is well-off the bottom--and has rebounded quicker than most.

The major reason, said Gary Barnett, president of Extell Development Co., is because New York had no major oversupply post-downturn. “In 2007, there were a bunch of projects that were ready to go and everything was swimming along. But when Lehman went bust, every deal cratered. We didn’t see new cranes in the sky until now,” he explained. “Contrary to the late 80s where we cratered and there were a lot of empty buildings, that wasn’t the case in New York City. There wasn’t a tremendous overhang of supply, so that’s why we came back so strongly. If financing was back for the go-go days, everybody would be back in the business and pretty soon, there would be an oversupply again. It is actually a healthy thing.”

And as demand for new space increases, the four major food groups--office, multifamily, hotels and retail--have all performed well. Anthony E. Malkin, president, Malkin Holdings LLC, said as a result, financing is freely available. “If you have a good deal or a good project in New York City, there is no shortage of folks who are looking to lend and no shortage of people who are looking to provide equity, and therefore, transactions are getting done at lower cap rates than they were back in 2007,” Malkin said, who is focusing on the retrofitting of Garment District and Midtown properties in the West 30s. “When I look at construction cranes, I think of the fact that we are putting a 29-story hoist on the side of the Empire State Building because we have a million new square feet of tenants to install. When I am looking at what we are doing with Garment Center properties, which is now tech, media, Internet and advertising, those properties have become very desirable and we have folks who would love to make loans on them.”

Continue Reading for Free

Register and gain access to:

  • Breaking commercial real estate news and analysis, on-site and via our newsletters and custom alerts
  • Educational webcasts, white papers, and ebooks from industry thought leaders
  • Critical coverage of the property casualty insurance and financial advisory markets on our other ALM sites, PropertyCasualty360 and ThinkAdvisor
NOT FOR REPRINT

© 2024 ALM Global, LLC, All Rights Reserved. Request academic re-use from www.copyright.com. All other uses, submit a request to [email protected]. For more information visit Asset & Logo Licensing.