SADDLE BROOK, NJ-As Europe goes, so goes New Jersey? Not quite, but the debt crisis across the Atlantic is one of a number of factors that slowed the recovery of New Jersey's industrial market in the third quarter, says CBRE's Third Quarter 2011 New Jersey Industrial MarketView Report.

Continuing high unemployment and slow national growth also contributed to slowing of market momentum, says James B. Tully, CBRE executive vice president. But the key is that the market is still better than 2010, he tells GlobeSt.com. “If you go year-to-year, the fundamentals continue to improve,” Tully says. “In the third quarter, we kind of hit a speed bump.”

The state saw its fourth consecutive quarter of positive net absorption, with 1.02 million absorbed. Central New Jersey saw 2.22 million square feet of absorption, while the Northern New Jersey market posted 1.19 million square feet of negative absorption, despite strong leasing activity. The result is a still-high vacancy rate of 10.9%.

Major deals are being done--the market saw 6.99 million square feet of new leasing activity in the quarter. The year-to-date total of 19.46 million square feet in new leasing activity has already surpassed the annual totals seen in each of the past four years, the report says. “It’s clear that we’re not going into a second recession,” Tully says. “But our own unemployment remains high.”

Recent economic statistics send mixed messages, he adds. The economic recovery didn’t translate into job growth, as corporations eye the economic turmoil overseas and wait to initiate hiring. And continuing positive absorption hasn’t translated into higher rents. In fact, the current average asking lease rate for industrial property in the state is $5.18 per square foot, compared with $5.28 per square foot in the second quarter. Northern New Jersey saw just the average asking rate drop by one cent, but the rate in Central New Jersey decreased by 19 cents.

“The Central New Jersey market had a lot more vacancy to shake out,” Tully says. “Now that deals are being done, they will be done at lower price points. We’ve seen the bottoming out of prices.”

Landlords of new construction were particularly aggressive in pricing during a period of low demand, allowing those companies that were moving or expanding the opportunity to upgrade their facilities. “People are moving up in quality. The A- and B+ space will find its price point,” Tully says.

Obsolete properties may never recover, but will be repurposed into other uses. And deals are happening. They’re just taking longer to do as corporations remain reluctant to make commitments in light of geopolitical and economic uncertainty, Tully notes. “There’s a lot of activity right now,” Tully says. “It won’t be reflected in the statistics, but there is good news.”

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