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Poll: Readers Predict Slow Recovery in 2012

NEW YORK CITY-More than half of GlobeSt.com readers said the economy would show little or no improvement in 2012. But industry leaders from Cushman & Wakefield, Real Capital Analytics and Cassidy Turley tell GlobeSt.com’s Jacqueline Hlavenka not to give up hope.

By Jacqueline Hlavenka | Updated on January 11, 2012

NEW YORK CITY-Despite steady employment growth and solid commercial real estate activity in 2011, the majority of GlobeSt.com readers are still on the fence about what 2012 holds in-store for leasing, sales and development. Results from last week’s GlobeSt.com’s Quick Poll show that 56% think the economy will show little or no improvement in 2012, while 13% say it will “suck worse than 2011.” At the same time, 31% claim the market will lay flat until the third quarter–and then soar.

Kenneth McCarthy, senior economist and senior managing director of research at Cushman & Wakefield, tells GlobeSt.com that many of these concerns are stemming from the Eurozone crisis and domestic policy issues in the United States. “A lot of times people take the recent past and project it into the future,” he says, noting that the second-half slowdown from S&P’s downgrade and debt problems overseas still weigh heavy on people’s minds. “Europe is still very much unclear about how that’s going to be resolved. We’ll have a period when everything looks like it is starting to get resolved, markets will get better and people will be more optimistic, and then you may have another crisis occur. People get a little gunshy about that.”

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