(Mark Your Calendars: RealShare REAL ESTATE 2012, March 22nd in Los Angeles).

SANTA ANA, CA-Since the time that GlobeSt.com broke the news of Grubb & Ellis intending to sell substantially all its assets to BGC Partners Inc., owner of Newmark Knight Frank, some industry sources have come forward on the news itself, but more on what it means for the industry, noting that this may be a sign of more struggles, and further brokerage firm consolidation to come.

Kevin Maggiacomo, president and CEO of Sperry Van Ness, tells GlobeSt.com that now more than ever, especially with new buyers, sellers, banks and special servicers, he says, “the smaller player is finding it difficult if not impossible to compete with larger nationals, so, they sell or affiliate with a major brand.” And while he admits the consolidation affected by the Grubb bankruptcy stems from a different cause, he sees a definite trend towards more brokers for fewer national firms in the near term. “The outcome of this deal could cause a major shift in market share.”

The reason for Maggiacomo’s predictions are because “this cycle will continue and future transactions will occur in part from distressed balance sheets but also through more healthy mergers as the market begins to strengthen over time,” he says.

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Chris Wilson, president of retail brokerage firm Wilson Commercial Real Estate, tells GlobeSt.com the Grubb & Ellis news is the “continuation of some significant changes in the commercial real estate brokerage industry.” He expects a creation of more boutique brokerage firms and further mergers and acquisitions over the next four or five years as the commercial real estate service industry and its salespeople adjust to the new economy.

While Wilson and Sperry’s Maggiacomo agree on further consolidation, Maggiacomo says that in terms of “more boutique brokerage firms,” succeeding with that is a tough proposition. “It is extraordinarily difficult to create brand and enterprise value for a boutique brokerage,” he says. “For most, brokerage is a means to some other, more profitable end, like property ownership.”

Maggiacomo continues that “Investing in a start-up, boutique brokerage, going through the slog of creating a brand which ultimately will hold little value, while finding it more difficult to win assignments over more recognized brands, doesn't sound like the ideal path to that goal.”

The bottom line, according to Edward Indvik, CEO of brokerage firm Lee & Associates, is that the real estate brokerage business is a resource, employee-intense business that requires tremendous financial and operational expertise. “The larger companies, especially the publicly-traded firms, will continue to struggle with every low margins or loss and with a Wall Street that will not reward firms that have cyclical revenue and low and cyclical profit streams,” he says.

Indvik explains that for the large firms, one solution is to get control over their number one expense: their agents. “I expect those firms will continue to work on tilting the revenue participation to the organization and away from their sales staff.”

As for how boutique firms will fare, Indvik says that “boutique firms will have an increasingly difficult time providing the needed tools and resources that an ever-growing sophisticated client and marketplace will demand.”

Either way, all sources agree that the future of national firm Grubb & Ellis is anything but certain. Edward Indvik, CEO of brokerage firm Lee & Associates, tells GlobeSt.com that as the firm must gain bankruptcy court approval, “it may take many months if not years” for this move to happen “because of the time necessary to have a plan considered and approved by all parties.”

Indvik also specifically addresses G&E president and CEO, Tom D’Arcy’s point that “it will be a seamless transition for our clients.” He wonders: “How long will Newmark be willing to supply ongoing financing if the ultimate outcome is unusually delayed or uncertain? Can the brokers continue to provide services?” As a broker or client, Indvik says he “would be nervous that yet another unpleasant surprise can happen at any time, and says it does not make for a stable platform or environment for anyone involved.”

Maggiacomo points out that “it will be interesting to see what happens to a brand which, not long ago, had achieved global supremacy in commercial real estate advisory. Hit hard by the one-two punch of a large debt load and a recession, this maneuver was the best of limited options for Grubb, and in my opinion, makes sense for all stakeholders—especially BGC.”

Maggiacomo continues that “If BGC can articulate a compelling story to the remaining Grubb brokers, and stem the tide of lost advisors, then perhaps the iconic brand will survive. If not, then we will see the Grubb & Ellis brand disappear and the remaining team members be consolidated to create a larger Knight Frank.”

Wilson tells GlobeSt.com that there is some sadness on his part in Grubb & Ellis evaporating from the landscape—it’s where he got his start in 1985. But he is quite confident that the firm’s top G&E brokers won’t run into too much trouble. “They will stay or migrate to other firms, and their clients will follow,” he says.

(Grubb & Ellis and BGC did not have a comment on the subject for this article.)

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Natalie Dolce

Natalie Dolce, editor-in-chief of GlobeSt.com and GlobeSt. Real Estate Forum, is responsible for working with editorial staff, freelancers and senior management to help plan the overarching vision that encompasses GlobeSt.com, including short-term and long-term goals for the website, how content integrates through the company’s other product lines and the overall quality of content. Previously she served as national executive editor and editor of the West Coast region for GlobeSt.com and Real Estate Forum, and was responsible for coverage of news and information pertaining to that vital real estate region. Prior to moving out to the Southern California office, she was Northeast bureau chief, covering New York City for GlobeSt.com. Her background includes a stint at InStyle Magazine, and as managing editor with New York Press, an alternative weekly New York City paper. In her career, she has also covered a variety of beats for M magazine, Arthur Frommer's Budget Travel, FashionLedge.com, and Co-Ed magazine. Dolce has also freelanced for a number of publications, including MSNBC.com and Museums New York magazine.