NEW YORK CITY-As large blocks of space continue to get gobbled up in Midtown and Midtown South, large transactions are helping to boost net-effective office rents Downtown. According to Studley’s 2012 Effective Rent Index, total rent posted its first gain since 2007 in Lower Manhattan, spiking by 18.1% to $41.34, spurred by a 49.9% spike in net rent to $18.42.
Erik Schmall, executive managing director at Studley, tells GlobeSt.com that the increase was “driven solely by the Conde deal that was done Downtown,” noting that the luxury magazine publisher’s landmark one-million-square-foot-plus trans at One World Trade Center is already having a material impact on the surrounding neighborhood. “I don’t know if this would be a positive number if it were not for this deal.”
As a result, tenant effective rent jumped by 21.8% to $26.99 this year, a huge jump from 2010 when landlord effective rents barely covered building expenses, clocking in with a rate of 71-cents. In 2011, it bounced off the bottom, rising to $5.08.
While other brokerage shops have said that Conde’s announcement hasn’t dragged asking rents up or down, Schmall says the mega transactions impact the net effective index in a much bigger way. “All the larger deals—like Oppenheimer, Conde—were done at rental rates in premium buildings, as opposed to some of the deals we did in other buildings,” he explained, noting that while Lower Manhattan offers a “significant discount from Midtown,” much of the older product is still struggling to lease up.
Concession packages rose by 11.8% to $104 this year, due largely to the surge in net rent. “There was a lot of a lot of commoditized space in Downtown Manhattan,” he says. “Unlike Midtown Manhattan, the difference between a whole basket of buildings are not that different. Besides the stuff that’s being built there right now, there’s not a lot of class A product, so everything else falls into the category of no great light and views unless it is on the water,” noting that concessions are still high for non-new construction.
“I still think there is a big overhang of space Downtown, and I think the market is going to stay relatively flat in the immediate future,” he adds.
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