LOS ANGELES-GlobeSt.com has learned exclusively that multifamily investors are making an aggressive push westward into Seattle, Phoenix, Los Angeles and San Diego, according to Jones Lang LaSalle’s third-quarter 2012 West Coast Multifamily Outlook. As a result of the positive momentum from the falling unemployment rates and increase in rental and occupancy fundamentals, these target cities witnessed a total combined multifamily transaction volume of $4.6 billion as of September.

Seattle remains high on the list of target cities for multifamily investment. According to David Young, managing director of Jones Lang LaSalle in Seattle, “Over the next three years, we expect the apartment sector in Seattle to outperform much of the US, keeping Puget Sound front and center on investors’ radar. The Seattle area will have slow but steady growth in the coming year, as increases in gas prices and lower cost of living keep migration focused around the urban core.”


Seattle’s transaction volume year-to-date is up to $1.03 billion. Private-equity buyers have fueled more than half of the transactions, accounting for 57% of the investor composition, followed by institutional capital at 23%. In the past year, the Seattle metro has added 13,800 jobs.

Phoenix ranks third in the nation in terms of total dollar volume of sales, and year-to-date is up nearly 55% over 2011 at $1.65 billion. In the past year, the Phoenix metro has added 33,000 jobs. According to John Cunningham, EVP of JLL in Phoenix, cap rates have fallen an average of 30 basis points here since 2011. Private investors have dominated the 2012 acquisition landscape and should continue to play an integral role in 2013. Rental demand has been strong, and vacancy has plummeted from its peak in 2009. New deliveries have begun to enter the market, yet absorption is strong while overall rental rate continues to increase.

Apartment fundamentals have improved in Los Angeles with consistent gains since 2009. The apartment sector is expected to continue rebounding as economic growth moves at a modest pace with renting a more favorable option over homeownership. In the past year, Los Angeles has added 6,100 jobs. According to Joe Leon, managing director of JLL in Los Angeles, “Los Angeles continues to be high on investors’ lists as it continues to recover. It currently ranks fifth in terms of total dollar volume of multifamily sales, with $1.47 billion in multifamily transactions year-to-date 2012. We’re seeing developers and owner/operators continue to be the dominant force in the transaction market, making up nearly three-quarters of the investor composition.”

Sales volume in San Diego has increased 34% on average each year since 2009. The multifamily transaction market year-to-date here stands at $492 million, with 93% of the investor mix controlled by private equity. Additionally, cap rates in the market have continued to compress, dropping 1% on average since 2009. In the past year, San Diego has added 28,000 jobs. According to Darcy Miramontes, EVP of JLL in San Diego, "San Diego’s high barrier-to-entry fundamentals and its location amplify its economic recovery. The market is coming back, and we’re seeing population growth positively impact the multifamily investor demand. Tourism has also had a positive effect on the service industries, while construction and finance sectors re-emerge as key sectors that were constrained in the economic expansion.”

*Chart courtesy of Jones Lang LaSalle. For the complete report, click here.

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Carrie Rossenfeld

Carrie Rossenfeld is a reporter for the San Diego and Orange County markets on GlobeSt.com and a contributor to Real Estate Forum. She was a trade-magazine and newsletter editor in New York City before moving to Southern California to become a freelance writer and editor for magazines, books and websites. Rossenfeld has written extensively on topics including commercial real estate, running a medical practice, intellectual-property licensing and giftware. She has edited books about profiting from real estate and has ghostwritten a book about starting a home-based business.