SCOTTSDALE, AZ-Though much of the Phoenix region was hard-hit in the wake of the subprime housing collapse and Great Recession, one especially struggling submarket was the Scottsdale Airpark. Bounded by Loop 101 and Thunderbird Road on the north and south, with 64th Street and 90th Street-96th Street representing the west and east boundaries respectively, the submarket consists of 3,300 acres and contains 33.9 million square feet of commercial real estate space consisting of office, light industrial retail and aviation buildings, as well as hospitality properties.
Approximately 2,848 companies make their home in Scottsdale Airpark, with 52,000 people employed there. And, as Jim Keeley, founding partner of Colliers International's Scottsdale office points out, job loss in the white-collar industry impacted Scottsdale Airpark's office sector in a huge way. "There had been more square footage added in the 2000s – there was huge momentum to build between 2005 and 2007," he tells GlobeSt.com. "But the time the newer, bigger projects were finishing up in 2008, the recession hit." Though the industrial sector in the submarket was also effected, it didn't take as bad a hit as its office counterpart.
The tanking economy also had a dire impact on the leasing side – in 2009, the vacancy rate hit 29%, which prompted a huge drop in rental rates, which dropped from $30 per square foot to $18 per square foot at the height of the financial downturn. These days, occupancy stands at 18.5%, with rental rates slowly recovering.
On the institutional sale side of things, during the period between 2008 and 2012, buyers chased either high-priced, trophy buildings or the REO and foreclosed real estate. However, "there were a whole lot of buildings between those two extremes, the stuff in the middle, that buyers didn't touch," Keeley observes. That changed in 2012, with more investors taking a closer look at that stuff in the middle, and doing something about it. During 2012, 76 buildings traded hands (41 office, 28 industrial and seven retail buildings) for a total sales volume of $350 million. "People began thinking that the prices aren't going down any more, so they may as well get in and buy," Keeley notes.
As for the remainder of this year and into 2014, Keeley says Scottsdale Airpark is coming up from the bottom. More investors will be interested in that stuff in the middle, especially as occupancy continues to increase. Furthermore, though limited land remains for development, the redevelopment and construction launches taking place in 2012 will continue well into the remainder of this year.
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