NEW YORK CITY—Ariel Property Advisors announced Monday that local multifamily transaction and building volume held relatively steady in the first quarter, compared to the first quarter of 2012. Meanwhile, dollar volume declined because of fewer large institutional sales, according to Ariel's multifamily quarter in review report.
New York City saw 120 transactions comprised of 204 buildings, totaling $1.103 billion in gross consideration in the first quarter. This is a 10% decline in transaction volume, a 4% decline in building volume, and a 41% decrease in dollar volume compared to the first quarter of 2012, which saw 134 transactions comprised of 212 buildings, totaling $1.856 billion in gross consideration. The drop in dollar volume is due largely to three institutional sales that took place in the first quarter of 2012, one of which was worth over $600 million, the report states.
“Although transaction and building volume dropped slightly citywide, our MFQIR shows most metrics in all boroughs saw substantial price increases in the first quarter of 2013 compared to the first quarter of 2012,” says Shimon Shkury, president, in an announcement of the report.
Compared to the fourth quarter of 2012, which saw 244 transactions comprised of 383 buildings totaling $2.908 billion in sales, the first quarter 2013 figures represent a 51 percent decrease in transaction volume, a 47 percent decrease in building volume, and a 62 percent decrease in dollar volume.
“Given the unusual burst of year-end sales that accompanied an eventual rise in capital gains taxes, we do not consider the quarter-over-quarter decline to be a major indicator of the multifamily sector's overall health,” Shkury says in the announcement. “In fact, current contracts support an uptick in institutional sales in the second and third quarters of 2013.”
More specifically, Manhattan was the borough that posted the strongest dollar volume, with $521.909 million in sales, but that was a drop from $1.325 billion in the first quarter of 2012. Most of this decline stemmed from fewer institutional sales taking place last year, according to the report. Several pricing metrics in the report suggest that multifamily values are up by more than 20 percent year-over -year.
Northern Manhattan was the only area to post year-over-year gains in sales across the board, Ariel asserts. Compared to the first quarter of 2012, transaction volume increased 16 percent while building volume and dollar volume both increased by more than 60 percent. Much of this increase can be attributed to portfolio sales, the firm concludes in the report.
Meanwhile, Brooklyn was the most active in Q1 transactions, with 34 sales taking place. Few institutional size deals took place, with most closing prices being under $10 million. Over in the Bronx, transaction volume nearly held steady with just a 4% decline. Building volume was down by 13 % but dollar volume showed a slight 1% increase, states the report. Single building sales defined the first quarter in Queens, with this trend toward smaller deals prompting a decline in both building and dollar volume. However, several transactions hit the market or went into contract last quarter, so Ariel expects 2013 to be a very positive year for Queens multifamily building sales.
The multifamily transactions included in Ariel Properties' analysis occurred at a minimum sales price of $1 million, with a minimum gross area of 5,000 square feet, and with a minimum of 10 units.
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