MIAMI—Tim Gifford, CBRE senior vice president of Capital Markets, is advising institutional investors to bet on Latin American commercial real estate—and Mexico in particular. But that doesn't mean these investments aren't without challenges.
In part two of this exclusive interview, Gifford talks about those challenges, as well as what types of assets are seeing the most activity, the next frontier, and the trends he sees emerging. You can still read part one, "Why You Should Be Betting on Latin America."
GlobeSt.com: What's the biggest challenge of working in Latin America?
Gifford: Access to information. There's a lot of market transparency in the U.S., but in Latin America information is held closely to the vest.
GlobeSt.com: What types of assets are seeing the most activity?
Gifford: It depends on the market and the investor profile, but most core funds are looking at acquisition of existing properties in the Big Three. If they're going after cash flow and low risk, they're focusing on office buildings in Mexico City.
Large retail and industrial platform sales in Mexico have become some of the most common transactions over the past 12 months. This trend in Mexico is expected to continue throughout 2014. The more opportunistic funds are looking at speculative development opportunities in Brazil and/or Columbia.
GlobeSt.com: What's the next frontier—which countries are next in line and why?
Gifford: Colombia and Peru are considered the major emerging markets. Colombia is the third-largest country by population, and there is a lot of pent-up demand for product due to low levels of historic development, particularly retail development in secondary cities. Peru is the second-fastest growing economy in the region, behind Panama.
GlobeSt.com: What other trends do you anticipate over the next 12 months?
Gifford: We expect to see continued flow of capital investment from Latin America into the U.S. as investors seek a more mature and stable market. Previously, capital was flowing primarily from north to south, but in the last 12 months there's been a real conversion as Latin American private equity seeks to diversify investments into the US and elsewhere. Expect to see Mexico continue to dominate investment market transaction volumes.
Want to continue reading?
Become a Free ALM Digital Reader.
Once you are an ALM Digital Member, you’ll receive:
- Breaking commercial real estate news and analysis, on-site and via our newsletters and custom alerts
- Educational webcasts, white papers, and ebooks from industry thought leaders
- Critical coverage of the property casualty insurance and financial advisory markets on our other ALM sites, PropertyCasualty360 and ThinkAdvisor
Already have an account? Sign In Now
*May exclude premium content© 2024 ALM Global, LLC, All Rights Reserved. Request academic re-use from www.copyright.com. All other uses, submit a request to [email protected]. For more information visit Asset & Logo Licensing.