ATLANTA-The marketplace is currently seeing increased investor demand for single-tenant, net-leased properties with shorter terms remaining on their leases. The trend over the past few years has been remarkable, for leases with less than 10 years, and sometimes less than five years remaining.
Stan Johnson Co. dispositions of single-tenant, net-leased buildings with less than 10 years on the lease increased by 25% in 2009-10; and a remarkable 97.14% increase in 2010-11. In 2011-12, demand rose another 84%, and the 2013 increase is on track to continue the trend. Stan Johnson Company properties with less than five years remaining on the lease had increases that were even more spectacular: 2009-10, 16.67%; 2010-11, 114.29%; and 2011-12, 120%.
These huge jumps are due, in part, to a lack of new properties becoming available since the economic downturn in 2008. These conditions have driven cap rates down, obliging investors to take greater risk.
Demand for yield is also spurring the market, driving REITs and institutional buyers to look for higher-risk product. More and more these groups are considering properties occupied by less-than-credit tenants, tertiary markets and shorter-term leases. Even foreign investors, usually more conservative than the domestic market, are pursuing these higher-risk, shorter-term deals.
Moreover, investors are starting to feel they can afford to take a little more risk in pursuit of yield because, to a great extent, risk has been reduced in the single-tenant, net-lease marketplace. Overall, the economy is improving so tenants are more likely to renew their leases. Rents have generally increased, which means landlords aren't on renewals to the same extent that they were two or three years ago. As a result, renewal rates take much of the risk out of properties with shorter-term leases.
Rising interest rates will also lead to more demand for shorter-term transactions. Higher-yields with less spread will become more attractive. With spreads tightening, many investors can find similar cash-on-cash returns with less leverage on a shorter-term offering. Many investors are paying cash for these properties, or are coming to the bargaining table with a lender who will provide minimal debt.
Institutional investors, are in the marketplace, increasingly looking for short term remaining lease term buying programs.
Brokers in the Stan Johnson Company's Atlanta have recently been involved in several transactions of this kind. Stag Industrial, a real estate investment trust, bought a property in Statham, Ga., currently occupied by Ryder with less than three years left on the lease. Sealy & Co., an investing and operating firm, purchased a property in Alpharetta, Georgia, where FedEx has nearly five years left on its lease. -A private Chinese investor bought another FedEx leased property in Atlanta with less than three years remaining on the lease term.
The key to success, in transactions of this type, is to understand the tenant's needs thoroughly and how they translate to renewal. In addition, a potential buyer must carefully consider residual value and current market dynamics, such as market rental rates and vacancy rates.
Britton Burdette is associate director of Stan Johnson Co. The views expressed in this column are the author's own.
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