PHOENIX—The Greater Phoenix housing market is posting price gains, but the pace of appreciation has been slowing in recent months after being among the top-performing markets in the country in 2012. One area where home prices have continued to gain momentum is in new home sales, where the median price topped $300,000 in December 2013.
Pete O'Neil, research manager for Colliers tells GlobeSt.com, “Home builders have done a better job keeping inventory in check allowing for higher prices and a better supply. Also, the economy is picking up and that is helping overall.”
Bob Mulhern, managing director of Colliers International in Greater Phoenix, agrees. “The discipline has been with home builders across the board,” he tells GlobeSt.com. “So this creates a healthy balance.”
Sales activity for land for residential uses slowed in the second half of the year, as did single-family permitting activity. Multifamily permitting increased in the second half of the year and for all of 2013, multifamily permitting was up 9 percent from 2012 levels.
“Multifamily demand has remained steady, in part because people have lost their homes. We ordinarily build 5,000 units per year but we haven't hit that number since 2007,” says O'Neil. “Vacancy is low, demand is a little lower, but you are seeing some select areas where demand is high, where rents are higher—along the major employment corridors.”
Mulhern says large projects like State Farm moving into the Southeast Valley will create demand and focus on harnessing intellectual capital workers will spurr even more multifamily growth.
Sales activity involving parcels for industrial and other commercial uses accelerated in the second half of 2013 in response to strengthening demand for office and retail space.
“Industrial has been through lots of cycles in a short time frame and that's prompted some spec construction,” says O'Neil. “You're seeing a lot of built-to-suits.”
While sales activity levels for land parcels were mixed in 2013, prices pushed higher across the board. Current market fundamentals are improved over recent years and the outlook has brightened. Additional volatility surrounding activity levels is likely, as demand for new homes and commercial real estate has been uneven.
“Land demand has accelerated,” says O'Neil. “But not as quickly as in past recoveries, and frankly, I think that's a good sign.
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