ORLANDO—For all the talk about Miami's multifamily market, Orlando has a story of its own to tell. And Shelton Granade, executive vice president of CBRE Orlando, is telling part of it.
Granade finished as one of the top five multifamily brokers in the country in each of the last four years. Granade and CBRE's Central Florida Multi-Housing Group have executed more than $5 billion in multifamily transactions in the Orlando area, including the recent sale of the Harbor at Lake Howell in Orlando.
GlobeSt.com caught up with Granade to discuss the economic fundamentals in Central Florida's multifamily market, how the market is really performing and more in part one of this exclusive interview. Be sure to come back this afternoon for part two of our discussion.
GlobeSt.com: What economic fundamentals are driving multifamily in Central Florida and how does it compare to previous years?
Granade: The Multi-housing market in Orlando has improved steadily over the last few years due to employment gains, limited new supply and an overall shift away from homeownership. We've seen big percentage gains in healthcare, hospitality, and professional and business in the last 12 months, with the job base growing in pockets like the Lake Nona Medial City area as well as with key employers such as Florida Hospital, Disney, Universal and Verizon. As wages increase, apartment rents typically follow suit as long as there's a good balance between supply and demand.
GlobeSt.com: How is the multifamily market doing?
Granade: New construction has been increasing, but is still one-third below deliveries in the previous cycle but the balance is very favorable right now. Rents in Orlando are forecast to increase 3.5% to 4% in each of the next five years and average occupancy should hold very strong in the 94% to 95% range. As the market continues to improve, Orlando is quickly becoming a very promising investment market for multi-housing.
GlobeSt.com: What stage of the development cycle are we currently in?
Granade: New apartment construction has accelerated in the last 18 months, as the economy has improved, but is still well below deliveries during the previous cycle. New supply over the next three years is one-third below the 2006 to 2008 level, and is forecast to decline slightly in each of the next two years.
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